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La Liga

Referee: César Soto

Sevilla

S T S U S

2–0

Full-time

Villarreal

U U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Villarreal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

0,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,3

This season — La Liga · 13/15 matches

Win Ø 47%

54%

40%

Points per game

1,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 32%

23%

40%

Both score Ø 53%

38%

67%

Average goals

1,9

2,3

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

0,8

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%

10 Shots 6

3 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 7

13 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sevilla 6. · Villarreal 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	13	10	2	1	+21	32
2	Real Madrid	15	10	2	3	+13	32
3	Sociedad	16	7	5	4	+13	26
4	Villarreal	15	6	8	1	+6	26
5	Barcelona	14	7	3	4	+14	24
6	Sevilla	13	7	2	4	+5	23
7	Granada	14	6	3	5	-5	21
8	Celta	15	5	5	5	-1	20
9	Betis	15	6	1	8	-10	19
10	Ath Bilbao	15	5	3	7	+0	18
11	Cadiz	15	5	3	7	-9	18
12	Getafe	14	4	5	5	-3	17
13	Alaves	15	4	5	6	-4	17
14	Valencia	15	3	6	6	-1	15
15	Levante	14	3	6	5	-2	15
16	Elche	13	3	6	4	-4	15
17	Eibar	15	3	6	6	-4	15
18	Valladolid	15	3	5	7	-9	14
19	Huesca	15	1	9	5	-10	12
20	Osasuna	14	3	3	8	-10	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	7	6	1	0	+16	19
2	Barcelona	8	5	2	1	+11	17
3	Villarreal	8	4	4	0	+6	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	+8	15
5	Granada	7	4	2	1	+4	14
6	Ath Bilbao	6	4	0	2	+6	12
7	Sociedad	8	3	3	2	+5	12
8	Celta	7	4	0	3	+1	12
9	Getafe	8	3	2	3	+1	11
10	Sevilla	6	3	1	2	+2	10
11	Betis	7	3	1	3	-1	10
12	Alaves	8	2	4	2	-1	10
13	Levante	6	2	3	1	+2	9
14	Valencia	8	2	3	3	+1	9
15	Valladolid	8	2	3	3	-4	9
16	Huesca	7	1	4	2	-2	7
17	Elche	7	1	4	2	-3	7
18	Osasuna	7	2	1	4	-5	7
19	Cadiz	7	1	2	4	-6	5
20	Eibar	8	0	4	4	-6	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	8	5	2	1	+5	17
2	Sociedad	8	4	2	2	+8	14
3	Ath Madrid	6	4	1	1	+5	13
4	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	+3	13
5	Cadiz	8	4	1	3	-3	13
6	Eibar	7	3	2	2	+2	11
7	Villarreal	7	2	4	1	+0	10
8	Betis	8	3	0	5	-9	9
9	Elche	6	2	2	2	-1	8
10	Celta	8	1	5	2	-2	8
11	Barcelona	6	2	1	3	+3	7
12	Alaves	7	2	1	4	-3	7
13	Granada	7	2	1	4	-9	7
14	Valencia	7	1	3	3	-2	6
15	Levante	8	1	3	4	-4	6
16	Getafe	6	1	3	2	-4	6
17	Ath Bilbao	9	1	3	5	-6	6
18	Osasuna	7	1	2	4	-5	5
19	Valladolid	7	1	2	4	-5	5
20	Huesca	8	0	5	3	-8	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.