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La Liga

Referee: Carlos Del Cerro

Ath Bilbao

T S U T S

2–3

Full-time

Barcelona

S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Barcelona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

1,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,0

This season — La Liga · 17/16 matches

Win Ø 43%

35%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

35%

56%

Both score Ø 46%

41%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,8

Scored

1,1

1,9

Conceded

1,1

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

42% Possession 58%

8 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 9

1 Blocked shots 0

6 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 4

0 Offside 4

10 Free kicks against 6

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Bilbao 9. · Barcelona 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	15	12	2	1	+23	38
2	Real Madrid	17	11	3	3	+15	36
3	Sociedad	18	8	6	4	+14	30
4	Villarreal	17	7	8	2	+5	29
5	Barcelona	16	8	4	4	+15	28
6	Sevilla	15	8	3	4	+7	27
7	Granada	16	7	3	6	-6	24
8	Celta	17	6	5	6	-2	23
9	Ath Bilbao	17	6	3	8	+0	21
10	Cadiz	17	5	5	7	-9	20
11	Betis	17	6	2	9	-11	20
12	Eibar	17	4	7	6	-2	19
13	Levante	16	4	6	6	-2	18
14	Alaves	17	4	6	7	-5	18
15	Valladolid	17	4	6	7	-8	18
16	Getafe	16	4	5	7	-5	17
17	Valencia	17	3	7	7	-2	16
18	Elche	15	3	7	5	-5	16
19	Osasuna	16	3	5	8	-10	14
20	Huesca	17	1	9	7	-12	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	8	7	1	0	+17	22
2	Villarreal	9	5	4	0	+7	19
3	Barcelona	9	5	3	1	+11	18
4	Real Madrid	8	6	0	2	+10	18
5	Granada	8	5	2	1	+5	17
6	Ath Bilbao	8	5	0	3	+6	15
7	Celta	8	5	0	3	+2	15
8	Sociedad	9	3	4	2	+5	13
9	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	+4	13
10	Levante	7	3	3	1	+3	12
11	Getafe	9	3	2	4	+0	11
12	Betis	8	3	2	3	-1	11
13	Valencia	9	2	4	3	+1	10
14	Alaves	9	2	4	3	-2	10
15	Valladolid	8	2	3	3	-4	9
16	Elche	8	1	5	2	-3	8
17	Osasuna	8	2	2	4	-5	8
18	Huesca	8	1	4	3	-3	7
19	Eibar	9	1	4	4	-4	7
20	Cadiz	8	1	3	4	-6	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	9	5	3	1	+5	18
2	Sociedad	9	5	2	2	+9	17
3	Ath Madrid	7	5	1	1	+6	16
4	Sevilla	8	4	2	2	+3	14
5	Cadiz	9	4	2	3	-3	14
6	Eibar	8	3	3	2	+2	12
7	Barcelona	7	3	1	3	+4	10
8	Villarreal	8	2	4	2	-2	10
9	Valladolid	9	2	3	4	-4	9
10	Betis	9	3	0	6	-10	9
11	Elche	7	2	2	3	-2	8
12	Alaves	8	2	2	4	-3	8
13	Celta	9	1	5	3	-4	8
14	Granada	8	2	1	5	-11	7
15	Valencia	8	1	3	4	-3	6
16	Levante	9	1	3	5	-5	6
17	Osasuna	8	1	3	4	-5	6
18	Getafe	7	1	3	3	-5	6
19	Ath Bilbao	9	1	3	5	-6	6
20	Huesca	9	0	5	4	-9	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.