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La Liga
Referee: Valentín Pizarro
Ath Bilbao
S U T U T
2–0
Full-time
Huesca
U U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Huesca
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
This season — La Liga · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 20%
31%
8%
Points per game
1,1
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
46%
31%
Both score Ø 54%
46%
62%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,2
0,9
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
10 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 5
3 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Ath Bilbao 13. · Huesca 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ath Madrid 11 8 2 1 +17 26
2 Sociedad 14 7 5 2 +16 26
3 Real Madrid 13 8 2 3 +9 26
4 Villarreal 13 5 7 1 +4 22
5 Barcelona 12 6 2 4 +11 20
6 Sevilla 11 6 1 4 +4 19
7 Granada 12 5 3 4 -5 18
8 Cadiz 13 5 3 5 -6 18
9 Celta 13 4 4 5 -3 16
10 Betis 13 5 1 7 -9 16
11 Eibar 13 3 6 4 -1 15
12 Valencia 13 3 5 5 +0 14
13 Ath Bilbao 13 4 2 7 -2 14
14 Elche 11 3 5 3 -2 14
15 Alaves 13 3 5 5 -3 14
16 Getafe 12 3 4 5 -5 13
17 Valladolid 13 3 4 6 -6 13
18 Levante 12 2 5 5 -3 11
19 Huesca 13 1 8 4 -8 11
20 Osasuna 12 3 2 7 -8 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ath Bilbao Huesca
22′
🔁 Pedro López
↦ Pablo Maffeo
36′
🟨 Jorge Pulido
Half-time 0–0
Unai Vencedor 🔁
↦ Dani García
46′
61′
🔁 I. Doumbia
↦ Mikel Rico
61′
🔁 Rafa Mir
↦ S. Okazaki
K. Kodro 🔁
↦ Asier Villalibre
66′
67′
🟨 Idrissa Doumbia
De Marcos 🔁
↦ Capa
71′
72′
🔁 Jaime Seoane
↦ David Ferreiro
73′
🔁 Dani Escriche
↦ Borja García
Oihan Sancet 🔁
↦ Williams
82′
Jon Morcillo 🔁
↦ Muniain
82′
86′
🟨 Jorge Pulido
86′
🟥 Jorge Pulido
1–0 K. Kodro
86′
2–0 Unai Núñez
Jon Morcillo
91′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Ath Bilbao

4-2-3-1
1 Unai Simón G
17 Yuri D
4 Íñigo Martínez D
21 Capa D
3 Unai Núñez D
14 Dani García M
6 Mikel Vesga M
10 Muniain M
9 Williams M
20 Asier Villalibre F
12 Álex Berenguer M
Bench (12)
27 Unai Vencedor
19 K. Kodro
18 De Marcos
16 Oihan Sancet
2 Jon Morcillo
13 Jokin Ezkieta
26 Iñigo Vicente
24 Balenziaga
8 Unai López
7 Ibai Gómez
15 Lekue
11 Iñigo Córdoba

Coach: Gaizka Garitano

Huesca

4-3-3
1 Álvaro Fernández G
18 D. Siovas D
14 Jorge Pulido D
3 Pablo Maffeo D
11 Javier Galán D
24 Borja García M
7 David Ferreiro F
5 Pedro Mosquera M
17 Mikel Rico M
15 Javi Ontiveros F
12 S. Okazaki F
Bench (12)
19 Pedro López
2 I. Doumbia
9 Rafa Mir
20 Jaime Seoane
23 Dani Escriche
10 Sergio Gómez
26 K. Nwakali
4 Pablo Ínsua
21 Juan Carlos
25 Andrés Fernández
22 G. Silva
8 Eugeni Valderrama

Coach: Míchel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,95
U
3,30
B
4,37
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,33
U2,5 ✓
1,60
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Valentín Pizarro · 73 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.