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Super League
Referee: A Koutsiaftis
Apollon
U S T S S
0–1
Full-time
Panathinaikos
S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Apollon Panathinaikos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,0
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,3
This season — Super League · 14/15 matches
Win Ø 31%
29%
33%
Points per game
1,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
43%
27%
Both score Ø 42%
43%
40%
Average goals
2,6
1,8
Scored
1,2
0,9
Conceded
1,4
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%
8 Shots 3
6 Shots on target 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
3 Corners 3
5 Offside 0
18 Free kicks against 19
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Apollon 9. · Panathinaikos 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 14 12 2 0 +32 38
2 Aris Thessalonikis 13 9 2 2 +11 29
3 Aris 13 9 2 2 +11 29
4 PAOK 14 8 4 2 +12 28
5 AEK 13 7 3 3 +7 24
6 Panathinaikos 15 5 4 6 +1 19
7 Volos NFC 15 4 7 4 -3 19
8 Asteras Tripolis 15 4 6 5 -2 18
9 Apollon 14 4 3 7 -3 15
10 Atromitos 14 3 6 5 -7 15
11 OFI Crete 15 4 3 8 -10 15
12 Giannina 15 3 5 7 -4 14
13 Panetolikos 15 2 5 8 -10 11
14 Lamia 13 2 2 9 -17 8
15 Larisa 14 1 4 9 -18 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Apollon Panathinaikos
20′
F. Ioannidis 0–1
A. Dauda 🔁
↦ N. Ioannidis
34′
35′
🟨 Vasilios Zagaritis
Sotiris Tsiloulis 🟨
37′
45′
🟨 Sotiris Alexandropoulos
Half-time 0–1
Vykintas Slivka 🟨
53′
53′
🟨 Vasilios Zagaritis
53′
🟥 Vasilios Zagaritis
Dimos Baxevanidis 🟨
58′
69′
🟨 Achilleas Poungouras
A. Mounier 🔁
↦ Marc Fernández
70′
D. Houhoumis 🔁
↦ K. Bručić
70′
74′
🔁 Y. Mollo
↦ T. Chatzigiovanis
82′
🔁 Carlitos López
↦ F. Macheda
83′
🔁 Aitor Cantalapiedra
↦ A. Athanasakopoulos
85′
🔁 T. Mavromatis
↦ F. Ioannidis
Christos Lisgaras 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Carlitos
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Apollon

4-2-3-1
13 D. Verhulst G
5 Domingues D
6 D. Baxevanidis D
2 K. Bručić D
4 C. Lisgaras D
17 Marc Fernández F
7 I. Coll M
14 V. Slivka M
23 S. Tsiloulis M
9 N. Ioannidis F
10 Thomas M
Bench (9)
27 A. Dauda
26 A. Mounier
3 D. Houhoumis
19 L. Rossi
1 K. Kotsaris
88 R. Kitoko
11 I. Varkas
8 A. Lagos
31 V. Vitlis

Coach: G. Paraschos

Panathinaikos

4-2-3-1
1 S. Dioudis G
5 B. Schenkeveld D
4 Fran Vélez D
3 Juan Carlos D
44 A. Poungouras D
47 V. Zagaritis D
11 T. Chatzigiovanis M
55 S. Alexandropoulos M
37 A. Athanasakopoulos
9 F. Macheda F
27 F. Ioannidis F
Bench (9)
58 Y. Mollo
10 Carlitos López
22 Aitor Cantalapiedra
24 T. Mavromatis
17 D. Emmanouilidis
12 I. Chatzitheodoridis
15 V. Xenopoulos
20 D. Serpezis
18 I. Bouzoukis

Coach: L. Bölöni

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,33
U
3,33
B ✓
2,11
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,24
U2,5 ✓
1,62
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Koutsiaftis · 36 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
31,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.