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Süper Lig
Referee: Huseyin Gocek
Antalyaspor
U S T T U
3–1
Full-time
Karagumruk
S T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Antalyaspor Karagumruk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,2
This season — Süper Lig · 16/15 matches
Win Ø 29%
25%
33%
Points per game
1,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
38%
60%
Both score Ø 59%
44%
73%
Average goals
2,4
2,9
Scored
0,9
1,6
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

39% Possession 61%
11 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 2
0 Offside 5
17 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Antalyaspor 17. · Karagumruk 9. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Gaziantep 16 8 7 1 +13 31
2 Besiktas 15 10 1 4 +12 31
3 Alanyaspor 16 9 3 4 +15 30
4 Galatasaray 16 9 3 4 +14 30
5 Fenerbahce 15 9 2 4 +10 29
6 Hatayspor 16 8 3 5 +3 27
7 Trabzonspor 17 7 5 5 -1 26
8 Konyaspor 16 6 4 6 +4 22
9 Karagumruk 15 5 6 4 +5 21
10 Yeni Malatyaspor 16 5 6 5 -1 21
11 Rizespor 15 5 5 5 -2 20
12 Goztep 16 4 7 5 +2 19
13 Sivasspor 16 4 7 5 -3 19
14 Buyuksehyr 16 5 4 7 -5 19
15 Genclerbirligi 16 5 4 7 -7 19
16 Kasimpasa 16 5 4 7 -8 19
17 Antalyaspor 16 4 6 6 -9 18
18 Ankaragücü 16 4 3 9 -6 15
19 Denizlispor 16 3 4 9 -11 13
20 Kayserispor 16 3 4 9 -11 13
21 Erzurumspor 17 3 4 10 -14 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Antalyaspor Karagumruk
10′
⚽ J. Balkovec 0–1
Nuri Şahin ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
16′
18′
🟨 Koray Altınay
1–1 H. Özmert ⚽
19′
24′
🟨 Enzo Roco
Nuri Şahin 🟨
33′
2–1 G. Bayrakdar ⚽
37′
Gokdeniz Bayraktar ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
39′
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 R. Civelek
↦ V. Hedenstad
53′
🔁 E. Çolak
↦ K. Altınay
E. Albayrak 🔁
↦ D. Sinik
64′
66′
🔁 M. Erdinç
↦ A. Sobiech
3–1 E. Albayrak ⚽
Amilton
71′
82′
🔁 A. Bertolacci
↦ P. NDiaye
84′
🟥 Enzo Roco
L. Podolski 🔁
↦ N. Şahin
87′
90′
🟨 Emre Çolak
O. Imeri 🔁
↦ Amilton
91′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Antalyaspor

4-3-3
25 R. Boffin G
13 F. Kudryashov D
89 V. Sarı D
4 Naldo D
77 B. Balcı D
8 N. Şahin M
88 H. Özmert M
7 D. Sinik M
11 D. Orgill F
23 Amilton F
41 G. Bayrakdar F
Bench (10)
6 E. Albayrak
10 L. Podolski
28 O. Imeri
53 M. Yılmaz
1 D. Özkan
35 F. Kaplan
34 A. Türk
2 E. Gülüm
15 M. Ekelik
24 S. Poyraz

Coach: E. Yanal

Karagumruk

4-2-3-1
2 E. Viviano G
26 V. Hedenstad D
5 E. Roco D
29 J. Balkovec D
4 K. Altınay M
37 G. Campi D
6 L. Biglia M
20 P. N'Diaye M
18 A. Ndao M
9 A. Sobiech F
16 F. Borini M
Bench (10)
28 R. Civelek
96 E. Çolak
11 M. Erdinç
91 A. Bertolacci
3 A. Erdem
21 M. Sarıgül
71 J. Durmaz
24 V. Arveladze
22 F. Kuruçuk
93 A. Özer

Coach: A. Canel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,47
U
3,23
B
2,86
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
1,83
U2,5
1,97
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

Huseyin Gocek · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.