La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Granada
Celta
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Real Madrid
|
31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | +49 | 75 |
| 2 |
Barcelona
|
32 | 22 | 6 | 4 | +61 | 72 |
| 3 |
Ath Madrid
|
32 | 19 | 8 | 5 | +35 | 65 |
| 4 |
Sevilla
|
32 | 18 | 8 | 6 | +17 | 62 |
| 5 |
Villarreal
|
31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | +21 | 54 |
| 6 |
Ath Bilbao
|
32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | +8 | 53 |
| 7 |
Sociedad
|
32 | 16 | 4 | 12 | +3 | 52 |
| 8 |
Eibar
|
32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | +8 | 50 |
| 9 |
Espanol
|
32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | +2 | 49 |
| 10 |
Celta
|
30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | -6 | 41 |
| 11 |
Valencia
|
32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 40 |
| 12 |
Alaves
|
31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | -9 | 40 |
| 13 |
Las Palmas
|
32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 38 |
| 14 |
Betis
|
32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | -16 | 34 |
| 15 |
Malaga
|
32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | -13 | 33 |
| 16 |
La Coruna
|
32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | -15 | 31 |
| 17 |
Leganes
|
32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -23 | 27 |
| 18 |
Sp Gijon
|
32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | -30 | 22 |
| 19 |
Granada
|
31 | 4 | 8 | 19 | -38 | 20 |
| 20 |
Osasuna
|
32 | 3 | 8 | 21 | -41 | 17 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Granada
Valencia
La Coruna
Granada
Granada
Barcelona
Sp Gijon
Granada
Granada
Ath Madrid
Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez · 115 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.