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La Liga
Referee: Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez
Granada
T T T U T
0–3
Full-time
Celta
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Granada Celta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-1,0
This season — La Liga · 31/30 matches
Win Ø 27%
13%
40%
Points per game
0,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
55%
63%
Both score Ø 58%
65%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
0,9
1,5
Conceded
2,1
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

37% Possession 63%
16 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 1
0 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 9
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Granada 19. · Celta 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 31 23 6 2 +49 75
2 Barcelona 32 22 6 4 +61 72
3 Ath Madrid 32 19 8 5 +35 65
4 Sevilla 32 18 8 6 +17 62
5 Villarreal 31 15 9 7 +21 54
6 Ath Bilbao 32 16 5 11 +8 53
7 Sociedad 32 16 4 12 +3 52
8 Eibar 32 14 8 10 +8 50
9 Espanol 32 13 10 9 +2 49
10 Celta 30 12 5 13 -6 41
11 Valencia 32 11 7 14 -7 40
12 Alaves 31 10 10 11 -9 40
13 Las Palmas 32 10 8 14 -6 38
14 Betis 32 9 7 16 -16 34
15 Malaga 32 8 9 15 -13 33
16 La Coruna 32 7 10 15 -15 31
17 Leganes 32 6 9 17 -23 27
18 Sp Gijon 32 5 7 20 -30 22
19 Granada 31 4 8 19 -38 20
20 Osasuna 32 3 8 21 -41 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.