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La Liga

Referee: Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea

Celta

T T T T T

1–0

Full-time

Sevilla

U U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Sevilla

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,5

This season — La Liga · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 36%

24%

48%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

62%

43%

Both score Ø 62%

71%

52%

Average goals

3,3

2,8

Scored

1,6

1,7

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%

10 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 9

3 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 12

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Celta 18. · Sevilla 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	22	15	5	2	+37	50
2	Ath Madrid	21	12	8	1	+19	44
3	Real Madrid	21	12	3	6	+8	39
4	Sevilla	21	10	6	5	+14	36
5	Getafe	22	8	8	6	+7	32
6	Alaves	21	9	5	7	-2	32
7	Valencia	22	6	12	4	+4	30
8	Sociedad	22	8	6	8	+2	30
9	Betis	21	8	5	8	-1	29
10	Levante	22	7	6	9	-8	27
11	Eibar	21	6	8	7	-4	26
12	Ath Bilbao	22	5	11	6	-5	26
13	Valladolid	22	6	7	9	-9	25
14	Girona	21	5	9	7	-5	24
15	Espanol	21	7	3	11	-11	24
16	Leganes	21	5	8	8	-6	23
17	Vallecano	21	6	5	10	-11	23
18	Celta	21	5	6	10	-3	21
19	Villarreal	21	3	9	9	-8	18
20	Huesca	22	3	6	13	-18	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	11	9	2	0	+15	29
2	Barcelona	12	8	3	1	+23	27
3	Sevilla	10	7	2	1	+12	23
4	Real Madrid	10	7	1	2	+10	22
5	Eibar	11	5	4	2	+6	19
6	Alaves	10	5	4	1	+4	19
7	Betis	11	5	3	3	+1	18
8	Espanol	10	6	0	4	-2	18
9	Leganes	10	4	5	1	+3	17
10	Ath Bilbao	11	4	5	2	+0	17
11	Getafe	10	5	1	4	+7	16
12	Valencia	11	3	7	1	+6	16
13	Levante	11	4	3	4	-4	15
14	Celta	11	3	4	4	+3	13
15	Sociedad	11	3	4	4	-1	13
16	Vallecano	11	3	4	4	-5	13
17	Valladolid	10	3	2	5	-3	11
18	Girona	11	2	5	4	-5	11
19	Huesca	11	2	4	5	-3	10
20	Villarreal	11	1	5	5	-4	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	10	7	2	1	+14	23
2	Sociedad	11	5	2	4	+3	17
3	Real Madrid	11	5	2	4	-2	17
4	Getafe	12	3	7	2	+0	16
5	Ath Madrid	10	3	6	1	+4	15
6	Valencia	11	3	5	3	-2	14
7	Valladolid	12	3	5	4	-6	14
8	Sevilla	11	3	4	4	+2	13
9	Girona	10	3	4	3	+0	13
10	Alaves	11	4	1	6	-6	13
11	Levante	11	3	3	5	-4	12
12	Betis	10	3	2	5	-2	11
13	Villarreal	10	2	4	4	-4	10
14	Vallecano	10	3	1	6	-6	10
15	Ath Bilbao	11	1	6	4	-5	9
16	Celta	10	2	2	6	-6	8
17	Eibar	10	1	4	5	-10	7
18	Espanol	11	1	3	7	-9	6
19	Leganes	11	1	3	7	-9	6
20	Huesca	11	1	2	8	-15	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.