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La Liga

Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano

Granada

S T T S T

1–2

Full-time

Real Madrid

U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Granada Real Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

4,0

4,5

Scored

1,2

3,7

Conceded

2,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,7

+2,8

This season — La Liga · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 44%

23%

64%

Points per game

0,9

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

59%

68%

Both score Ø 57%

64%

50%

Average goals

3,1

3,8

Scored

1,1

2,9

Conceded

2,0

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,9

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

36% Possession 64%

14 Shots 14

2 Shots on target 4

8 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 6

3 Offside 2

0 Free kicks against 0

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Granada 19. · Real Madrid 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	22	17	3	2	+39	54
2	Ath Madrid	23	16	3	4	+23	51
3	Real Madrid	22	14	5	3	+44	47
4	Villarreal	23	13	6	4	+11	45
5	Sevilla	23	10	7	6	+8	37
6	Ath Bilbao	23	10	5	8	+3	35
7	Celta	23	10	5	8	-2	35
8	Eibar	23	9	6	8	+5	33
9	La Coruna	23	6	13	4	+3	31
10	Malaga	23	8	6	9	+1	30
11	Getafe	23	7	5	11	-9	26
12	Valencia	23	5	10	8	+2	25
13	Betis	23	6	7	10	-15	25
14	Sociedad	22	6	6	10	-8	24
15	Vallecano	23	6	5	12	-17	23
16	Sp Gijon	22	6	4	12	-12	22
17	Espanol	22	6	4	12	-21	22
18	Las Palmas	23	5	6	12	-13	21
19	Granada	22	5	5	12	-20	20
20	Levante	23	4	5	14	-22	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	12	11	1	0	+32	34
2	Real Madrid	12	10	1	1	+35	31
3	Sevilla	12	10	0	2	+14	30
4	Villarreal	12	9	2	1	+11	29
5	Ath Madrid	11	8	2	1	+9	26
6	Ath Bilbao	11	6	3	2	+11	21
7	Getafe	12	6	3	3	+9	21
8	Eibar	12	6	3	3	+7	21
9	Malaga	11	5	3	3	+7	18
10	Las Palmas	12	5	3	4	+1	18
11	Celta	12	5	3	4	+0	18
12	Vallecano	12	5	2	5	+0	17
13	Valencia	11	3	7	1	+6	16
14	Espanol	10	4	4	2	-2	16
15	La Coruna	11	3	6	2	+5	15
16	Sociedad	11	4	3	4	+0	15
17	Sp Gijon	10	3	3	4	+1	12
18	Levante	12	3	3	6	-7	12
19	Granada	10	3	2	5	-7	11
20	Betis	11	2	4	5	-8	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	12	8	1	3	+14	25
2	Barcelona	10	6	2	2	+7	20
3	Celta	11	5	2	4	-2	17
4	Real Madrid	10	4	4	2	+9	16
5	Villarreal	11	4	4	3	+0	16
6	La Coruna	12	3	7	2	-2	16
7	Betis	12	4	3	5	-7	15
8	Ath Bilbao	12	4	2	6	-8	14
9	Eibar	11	3	3	5	-2	12
10	Malaga	12	3	3	6	-6	12
11	Sp Gijon	12	3	1	8	-13	10
12	Valencia	12	2	3	7	-4	9
13	Sociedad	11	2	3	6	-8	9
14	Granada	12	2	3	7	-13	9
15	Sevilla	11	0	7	4	-6	7
16	Vallecano	11	1	3	7	-17	6
17	Espanol	12	2	0	10	-19	6
18	Levante	11	1	2	8	-15	5
19	Getafe	11	1	2	8	-18	5
20	Las Palmas	11	0	3	8	-14	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.