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La Liga

Referee: Mario Melero Lopez

Ath Madrid

S T S S S

1–0

Full-time

Valladolid

T T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Valladolid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,3

This season — La Liga · 34/34 matches

Win Ø 43%

62%

24%

Points per game

2,1

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 30%

24%

35%

Both score Ø 38%

32%

44%

Average goals

2,2

Scored

1,5

0,9

Conceded

0,7

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%

13 Shots 13

1 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

7 Corners 3

19 Free kicks against 12

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Madrid 2. · Valladolid 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	34	24	8	2	+53	80
2	Ath Madrid	34	21	8	5	+28	71
3	Real Madrid	34	20	5	9	+21	65
4	Sevilla	34	16	7	11	+17	55
5	Getafe	34	14	13	7	+14	55
6	Valencia	34	12	16	6	+9	52
7	Ath Bilbao	35	12	14	9	-3	50
8	Alaves	35	12	11	12	-9	47
9	Espanol	34	11	10	13	-9	43
10	Betis	34	12	7	15	-10	43
11	Sociedad	34	10	11	13	-3	41
12	Leganes	34	10	11	13	-6	41
13	Eibar	34	9	13	12	-5	40
14	Villarreal	34	9	12	13	-3	39
15	Levante	34	9	10	15	-10	37
16	Celta	34	9	9	16	-9	36
17	Valladolid	34	8	11	15	-18	35
18	Girona	34	8	10	16	-13	34
19	Huesca	34	6	11	17	-18	29
20	Vallecano	34	7	7	20	-26	28

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	17	14	2	1	+21	44
2	Barcelona	17	13	3	1	+31	42
3	Real Madrid	17	12	1	4	+18	37
4	Sevilla	17	11	3	3	+20	36
5	Getafe	17	10	2	5	+13	32
6	Ath Bilbao	18	8	8	2	+5	32
7	Espanol	17	9	3	5	+1	30
8	Eibar	17	8	5	4	+9	29
9	Valencia	17	6	10	1	+11	28
10	Leganes	17	7	7	3	+5	28
11	Alaves	17	6	8	3	+0	26
12	Celta	17	7	4	6	+4	25
13	Betis	17	7	4	6	-2	25
14	Sociedad	17	5	6	6	+0	21
15	Levante	17	5	6	6	-3	21
16	Villarreal	17	4	7	6	+1	19
17	Huesca	17	4	6	7	-3	18
18	Vallecano	17	4	6	7	-7	18
19	Valladolid	17	4	5	8	-9	17
20	Girona	17	2	6	9	-11	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	17	11	5	1	+22	38
2	Real Madrid	17	8	4	5	+3	28
3	Ath Madrid	17	7	6	4	+7	27
4	Valencia	17	6	6	5	-2	24
5	Getafe	17	4	11	2	+1	23
6	Girona	17	6	4	7	-2	22
7	Alaves	18	6	3	9	-9	21
8	Sociedad	17	5	5	7	-3	20
9	Villarreal	17	5	5	7	-4	20
10	Sevilla	17	5	4	8	-3	19
11	Betis	17	5	3	9	-8	18
12	Ath Bilbao	17	4	6	7	-8	18
13	Valladolid	17	4	6	7	-9	18
14	Levante	17	4	4	9	-7	16
15	Espanol	17	2	7	8	-10	13
16	Leganes	17	3	4	10	-11	13
17	Celta	17	2	5	10	-13	11
18	Eibar	17	1	8	8	-14	11
19	Huesca	17	2	5	10	-15	11
20	Vallecano	17	3	1	13	-19	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.