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Bundesliga
Referee: F Zwayer
Hoffenheim
S U T T T
0–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hoffenheim Greuther Furth
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
0,8
0,5
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,3
This season — Bundesliga · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 28%
45%
10%
Points per game
1,5
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
66%
66%
Both score Ø 59%
55%
62%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
1,6
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%
16 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
10 Corners 1
1 Offside 2
19 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hoffenheim 7. · Greuther Furth 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 30 23 3 4 +60 72
2 Dortmund 30 20 3 7 +33 63
3 Leverkusen 29 15 7 7 +26 52
4 RB Leipzig 29 15 6 8 +33 51
5 Freiburg 30 14 9 7 +15 51
6 FC Koln 30 12 10 8 +0 46
7 Hoffenheim 29 13 5 11 +5 44
8 Union Berlin 29 12 8 9 -1 44
9 Mainz 30 11 6 13 +7 39
10 Ein Frankfurt 29 10 9 10 +0 39
11 M'gladbach 30 10 7 13 -13 37
12 Bochum 30 10 6 14 -13 36
13 Wolfsburg 30 10 4 16 -17 34
14 Augsburg 30 8 8 14 -13 32
15 Hertha 30 8 5 17 -34 29
16 Stuttgart 30 6 10 14 -17 28
17 Bielefeld 30 5 11 14 -23 26
18 Greuther Furth 29 3 7 19 -48 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hoffenheim Greuther Furth
11′
🔁 D. Abiama
↦ H. Nielsen
Pavel Kadeřábek 🟨
18′
39′
🟨 Julian Green
41′
🟨 Maximilian Bauer
Half-time 0–0
K. Akpoguma 🔁
↦ C. Richards
46′
46′
🔁 J. Willems
↦ M. Bauer
H. Nordtveit 🔁
↦ S. Posch
50′
Christoph Baumgartner 🟨
54′
Kevin Vogt 🟨
60′
G. Rutter 🔁
↦ M. Dabbur
71′
J. Bruun Larsen 🔁
↦ P. Kadeřábek
71′
76′
🔁 J. Ngankam
↦ D. Abiama
79′
🟨 Sebastian Griesbeck
R. Skov 🔁
↦ D. Raum
87′
92′
🔁 G. Jung
↦ J. Green
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Hoffenheim

3-1-4-2
1 O. Baumann G
22 K. Vogt D
3 P. Kadeřábek M
38 S. Posch D
17 D. Raum M
28 C. Richards D
18 D. Samassékou M
14 C. Baumgartner M
27 A. Kramarić M
10 M. Dabbur F
9 I. Bebou F
Bench (9)
25 K. Akpoguma
6 H. Nordtveit
33 G. Rutter
7 J. Bruun Larsen
29 R. Skov
37 L. Philipp
13 A. Stiller
16 S. Rudy
15 K. Nuhu

Coach: S. Hoeneb

Greuther Furth

3-1-4-2
26 A. Linde G
24 N. Viergever D
27 G. Itter M
4 M. Bauer D
22 S. Griesbeck D
37 J. Green M
21 T. Tillman M
20 T. Raschl M
40 J. Leweling M
16 H. Nielsen F
10 B. Hrgota F
Bench (9)
11 D. Abiama
15 J. Willems
17 J. Ngankam
23 G. Jung
19 O. Fobassam
2 S. Asta
1 M. Funk
32 A. Barry
30 S. Burchert

Coach: S. Leitl

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,27
U ✓
6,29
B
10,51
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,39
U2,5 ✓
3,01
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Zwayer · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.