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Bundesliga

Referee: P Ittrich

Leverkusen

U S T S U

1–1

Full-time

Union Berlin

U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leverkusen Union Berlin

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,0

2,7

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

0,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,3

This season — Bundesliga · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 39%

44%

34%

Points per game

1,6

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

56%

50%

Both score Ø 61%

56%

66%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

1,6

1,5

Conceded

1,1

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%

9 Shots 15

4 Shots on target 6

5 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 5

1 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Leverkusen 6. · Union Berlin 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	32	23	5	4	+52	74
2	RB Leipzig	32	19	7	6	+29	64
3	Wolfsburg	32	17	9	6	+25	60
4	Dortmund	32	18	4	10	+25	58
5	Ein Frankfurt	32	15	12	5	+15	57
6	Leverkusen	32	14	9	9	+16	51
7	M'gladbach	32	12	10	10	+7	46
8	Union Berlin	32	11	13	8	+6	46
9	Freiburg	32	12	8	12	+2	44
10	Stuttgart	32	11	9	12	+2	42
11	Hoffenheim	32	10	9	13	-3	39
12	Mainz	32	9	9	14	-16	36
13	Hertha	32	8	10	14	-10	34
14	Augsburg	32	9	6	17	-17	33
15	Werder Bremen	32	7	10	15	-17	31
16	Bielefeld	32	8	7	17	-28	31
17	FC Koln	32	7	8	17	-27	29
18	Schalke 04	32	2	7	23	-61	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	16	12	4	0	+40	40
2	RB Leipzig	16	11	3	2	+16	36
3	Wolfsburg	16	10	4	2	+17	34
4	Ein Frankfurt	16	9	7	0	+15	34
5	Dortmund	16	10	2	4	+18	32
6	Union Berlin	16	7	8	1	+13	29
7	M'gladbach	16	8	4	4	+14	28
8	Leverkusen	16	8	4	4	+12	28
9	Freiburg	16	7	5	4	+10	26
10	Hoffenheim	16	7	3	6	+7	24
11	Stuttgart	16	5	6	5	+3	21
12	Hertha	16	5	4	7	-5	19
13	Augsburg	16	5	4	7	-6	19
14	Bielefeld	16	6	1	9	-10	19
15	Mainz	16	4	4	8	-8	16
16	Werder Bremen	16	3	5	8	-10	14
17	FC Koln	16	2	5	9	-12	11
18	Schalke 04	16	2	3	11	-21	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	16	11	1	4	+12	34
2	RB Leipzig	16	8	4	4	+13	28
3	Wolfsburg	16	7	5	4	+8	26
4	Dortmund	16	8	2	6	+7	26
5	Leverkusen	16	6	5	5	+4	23
6	Ein Frankfurt	16	6	5	5	+0	23
7	Stuttgart	16	6	3	7	-1	21
8	Mainz	16	5	5	6	-8	20
9	M'gladbach	16	4	6	6	-7	18
10	Freiburg	16	5	3	8	-8	18
11	FC Koln	16	5	3	8	-15	18
12	Werder Bremen	16	4	5	7	-7	17
13	Union Berlin	16	4	5	7	-7	17
14	Hertha	16	3	6	7	-5	15
15	Hoffenheim	16	3	6	7	-10	15
16	Augsburg	16	4	2	10	-11	14
17	Bielefeld	16	2	6	8	-18	12
18	Schalke 04	16	0	4	12	-40	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.