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Bundesliga
Referee: M Schmidt
Bayern Munich
S S T S U
5–2
Full-time
Augsburg
U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bayern Munich Augsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,7
2,2
Scored
2,5
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,5
This season — Bundesliga · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 50%
70%
30%
Points per game
2,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
79%
45%
Both score Ø 63%
73%
52%
Average goals
4,1
2,5
Scored
2,8
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,6
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–0

70% Possession 30%
24 Shots 9
13 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 10
10 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
6 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bayern Munich 1. · Augsburg 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 33 23 6 4 +52 75
2 RB Leipzig 33 19 8 6 +29 65
3 Dortmund 33 19 4 10 +27 61
4 Wolfsburg 33 17 10 6 +25 61
5 Ein Frankfurt 33 15 12 6 +14 57
6 Leverkusen 33 14 10 9 +16 52
7 Union Berlin 33 11 14 8 +6 47
8 M'gladbach 33 12 10 11 +6 46
9 Stuttgart 33 12 9 12 +3 45
10 Freiburg 33 12 9 12 +2 45
11 Hoffenheim 33 10 10 13 -3 40
12 Augsburg 33 10 6 17 -15 36
13 Mainz 33 9 9 15 -18 36
14 Hertha 33 8 11 14 -10 35
15 Bielefeld 33 8 8 17 -28 32
16 Werder Bremen 33 7 10 16 -19 31
17 FC Koln 33 7 9 17 -27 30
18 Schalke 04 33 3 7 23 -60 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,13
U
9,90
B
18,62
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,16
U2,5
5,20
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Schmidt · 27 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.