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Super League
Referee: Nico Gianforte
Basel
S T S S U
1–2
Full-time
Sion
S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel Sion
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
3,5
4,8
Scored
1,7
2,2
Conceded
1,8
2,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 5/4 matches
Win Ø 55%
60%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 80%
60%
100%
Both score Ø 68%
60%
75%
Average goals
3,4
4,3
Scored
2,0
2,3
Conceded
1,4
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,94 xG 1,80
50% Possession 50%
11 Shots 19
3 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 7
2 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Basel 3. · Sion 7. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Young Boys 6 4 2 0 +12 +4.5 14
2 Lugano 4 4 0 0 +10 +1.6 12
3 Basel 5 3 1 1 +3 +1.7 10
4 Luzern 6 2 2 2 -3 -1.8 8
5 St. Gallen 5 2 1 2 -1 +3.8 7
6 Thun 5 2 1 2 -5 -5.0 7
7 Sion 4 2 0 2 +1 +3.1 6
8 Lausanne 6 1 3 2 -1 -2.2 6
9 Zurich 6 2 0 4 -7 -1.6 6
10 Servette 4 1 1 2 -1 +1.0 4
11 Grasshoppers 5 1 1 3 -5 -0.3 4
12 Vaduz 6 1 0 5 -3 -4.7 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

26. Apr -26 Basel – Sion 0–2 12. Feb -26 Sion – Basel 2–0 18. Jan -26 Basel – Sion 1–1 30. Aug -25 Sion – Basel 0–1 1. Mar -25 Basel – Sion 2–0

Match report

Basel Sion
1–0 Žan Celar ⚽
Asane Sow
40′
45′
🟨 Ali Kabacalman
Half-time 1–0
Žan Celar ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
47′
Ludwig Thorell 🔁
↦ Xherdan Shaqiri
60′
Philip Otele 🔁
↦ Kazeem Olaigbe
60′
Moussa Cisse 🟨
61′
Moussa Cisse 🟥
62′
66′
🔁 Franck Surdez
↦ Théo Berdayes
66′
🔁 Josias Lukembila
↦ Donat Rrudhani
67′
🔁 Rilind Nivokazi
↦ Fodé Sylla
76′
⚽ Winsley Boteli Mokango 1–1
Josias Lukembila
Ludwig Thorell 🟨
79′
79′
⚽ Winsley Boteli Mokango 1–2
84′
🔁 Liam Chipperfield
↦ Winsley Boteli Mokango
85′
🟨 Noé Sow
giacomo koloto 🔁
↦ Žan Celar
88′
Jonas harder 🔁
↦ Abemly Meto Silu Metinho
89′
Nicolas·Vouilloz 🔁
↦ Becir Omeragic
89′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Basel

4-2-3-1
13 M. Salvi G
6 K. Tsunemoto D
24 F. Daniliuc D
55 A. Victory D
29 M. Cisse D
4 B. Omeragic M
5 Metinho M
18 A. Sow M
10 X. Shaqiri M
11 K. Olaigbe M
9 Z. Celar F
Bench (9)
49 Renato
27 K. Ruegg
3 N. Vouilloz
14 A. Bacanin
8 L. Thorell
44 J. Harder
37 G. Koloto
7 P. Otele
17 A. Malouda

Coach: Stephan Lichtsteiner

Sion

4-1-4-1
1 A. Racioppi G
14 N. Lavanchy D
5 N. Sow D
17 J. Kronig D
6 Marquinhos Cipriano D
88 A. Kabacalman M
29 T. Berdayes M
37 F. Sylla M
8 Baltazar M
77 D. Rrudhani M
13 W. Boteli F
Bench (9)
12 F. Ruberto
55 L. Villa
20 N. Hefti
10 B. Kololli
21 L. Chipperfield
33 R. Nivokazi
19 F. Surdez
9 J. Lukembila
22 A. Llukes

Coach: Didier Tholot

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B ✓
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.