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2. Bundesliga
Referee: F Bickel
Bochum
S T S U U
3–3
Full-time
Darmstadt
U T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bochum Darmstadt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 44%
35%
53%
Points per game
1,2
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
53%
53%
Both score Ø 53%
53%
53%
Average goals
2,6
2,7
Scored
1,4
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

57% Possession 43%
20 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 6
1 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bochum 10. · Darmstadt 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Schalke 04 18 12 2 4 +12 +5.0 38
2 Elversberg 18 10 4 4 +15 -3.7 34
3 Darmstadt 17 9 6 2 +12 +7.0 33
4 Paderborn 17 10 3 4 +10 +7.3 33
5 Hannover 17 8 5 4 +8 +4.9 29
6 Hertha 18 8 5 5 +5 -1.9 29
7 Kaiserslautern 17 8 3 6 +8 +1.3 27
8 Nurnberg 18 7 4 7 -3 -0.0 25
9 Karlsruhe 18 7 4 7 -6 -14.2 25
10 Bochum 17 6 3 8 +1 +4.4 21
11 Holstein Kiel 17 5 5 7 -2 -6.3 20
12 Magdeburg 18 6 2 10 -5 +6.1 20
13 Preußen Münster 18 5 5 8 -6 -0.4 20
14 Fortuna Dusseldorf 18 6 2 10 -11 -3.5 20
15 Braunschweig 18 6 2 10 -12 -1.0 20
16 Bielefeld 18 5 4 9 +2 -0.4 19
17 Dresden 18 4 4 10 -8 +0.8 16
18 Greuther Furth 18 4 3 11 -20 -5.4 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bochum Darmstadt
Farid Alfa-Ruprecht 🟨
3′
7′
F. Hornby 0–1
M. Richter
1–1 F. Onyeka
11′
2–1 P. Hofmann
27′
36′
I. Lidberg 2–2
S. Lopez
Half-time 2–2
K. Miyoshi 🔁
↦ M. Kwarteng
61′
61′
🔁 M. Papela
↦ F. Hornby
64′
🟨 Kai Klefisch
68′
L. Morgalla 3–2
own goal
71′
🔁 A. Vukotic
↦ F. Holland
F. Passlack 🔁
↦ L. Morgalla
74′
C. Marshall 🔁
↦ C. Lenz
74′
4–2 C. Marshall
82′
84′
🔁 P. Will
↦ H. Akiyama
84′
🔁 F. Lakenmacher
↦ M. Richter
86′
🟨 Matondo-Merveille Papela
K. Watjen 🔁
↦ F. Alfa-Ruprecht
86′
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Bochum

4-2-3-1
1 T. Horn G
39 L. Morgalla D
20 N. Loosli D
3 P. Strompf D
32 M. Wittek D
34 C. Lenz M
24 M. Pannewig M
11 M. Kwarteng M
21 F. Onyeka M
29 F. Alfa-Ruprecht M
33 P. Hofmann F
Bench (9)
22 N. Thiede
4 E. Masovic
18 M. Rakneberg
35 K. Koscierski
8 K. Watjen
15 F. Passlack
23 K. Miyoshi
31 M. Sobottka
16 C. Marshall

Coach: Uwe Rosler

Darmstadt

4-2-3-1
1 M. Schuhen G
2 S. Lopez D
6 P. Pfeiffer D
5 M. Maglica D
32 F. Holland D
17 K. Klefisch M
16 H. Akiyama M
23 M. Richter M
9 F. Hornby M
8 L. Marseiler M
7 I. Lidberg F
Bench (9)
30 A. Brunst
3 L. Klassen
20 A. Vukotic
10 J. Boetius
21 M. Papela
28 P. Will
44 Y. Furukawa
19 F. Lakenmacher
22 S. Guler

Coach: Florian Kohfeldt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,37
U ✓
3,41
B
2,71
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,62
U2,5
2,15
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.