2. Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Bochum
Darmstadt
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 2–2
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Schalke 04
|
18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | +12 | +5.0 | 38 |
| 2 |
Elversberg
|
18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | +15 | -3.7 | 34 |
| 3 |
Darmstadt
|
17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | +12 | +7.0 | 33 |
| 4 |
Paderborn
|
17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | +10 | +7.3 | 33 |
| 5 |
Hannover
|
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | +8 | +4.9 | 29 |
| 6 |
Hertha
|
18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | +5 | -1.9 | 29 |
| 7 |
Kaiserslautern
|
17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | +8 | +1.3 | 27 |
| 8 |
Nurnberg
|
18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | -3 | -0.0 | 25 |
| 9 |
Karlsruhe
|
18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | -6 | -14.2 | 25 |
| 10 |
Bochum
|
17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | +1 | +4.4 | 21 |
| 11 |
Holstein Kiel
|
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | -2 | -6.3 | 20 |
| 12 |
Magdeburg
|
18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | -5 | +6.1 | 20 |
| 13 |
Preußen Münster
|
18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | -6 | -0.4 | 20 |
| 14 |
Fortuna Dusseldorf
|
18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | -11 | -3.5 | 20 |
| 15 |
Braunschweig
|
18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | -12 | -1.0 | 20 |
| 16 |
Bielefeld
|
18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | +2 | -0.4 | 19 |
| 17 |
Dresden
|
18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -8 | +0.8 | 16 |
| 18 |
Greuther Furth
|
18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | -20 | -5.4 | 15 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
T. Horn
G
L. Morgalla
D
P. Strompf
D
M. Wittek
D
C. Lenz
M
M. Pannewig
M
M. Kwarteng
M
F. Onyeka
M
F. Alfa-Ruprecht
M
P. Hofmann
F
Coach: Uwe Rosler
M. Schuhen
G
S. Lopez
D
P. Pfeiffer
D
M. Maglica
D
K. Klefisch
M
H. Akiyama
M
M. Richter
M
F. Hornby
M
I. Lidberg
F
Coach: Florian Kohfeldt
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Bochum
Karlsruhe
Hannover
Bochum
Bochum
Bielefeld
Bochum
Stuttgart
Greuther Furth
Bochum
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.