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Süper Lig

Referee: A D Kayatepe

Kocaelispor

U S U U S

1–2

Full-time

Trabzonspor

S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kocaelispor Trabzonspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

17%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

33%

100%

Average goals

1,2

4,8

Scored

0,8

2,7

Conceded

0,3

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 47%

35%

59%

Points per game

1,4

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

24%

47%

Both score Ø 50%

41%

59%

Average goals

1,9

3,1

Scored

0,9

1,9

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,49 xG 0,54

43% Possession 57%

15 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 3

2 Offside 0

16 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kocaelispor 9. · Trabzonspor 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	18	13	4	1	+27	+19.6	43
2	Fenerbahce	17	11	6	0	+25	+21.5	39
3	Trabzonspor	17	10	5	2	+13	+2.5	35
4	Goztep	17	9	5	3	+12	+3.4	32
5	Besiktas	17	8	5	4	+8	+16.1	29
6	Buyuksehyr	18	7	5	6	+10	+0.6	26
7	Samsunspor	17	6	7	4	+2	+6.9	25
8	Gaziantep	18	6	6	6	-6	-2.1	24
9	Kocaelispor	17	6	5	6	-2	-0.8	23
10	Alanyaspor	17	4	9	4	+1	-3.4	21
11	Genclerbirligi	17	5	3	9	-3	-8.4	18
12	Rizespor	17	4	6	7	-4	+0.8	18
13	Konyaspor	17	4	5	8	-8	-6.1	17
14	Kasimpasa	18	3	7	8	-10	-9.9	16
15	Antalyaspor	18	4	4	10	-15	-11.1	16
16	Kayserispor	17	2	9	6	-17	-9.2	15
17	Eyüpspor	17	3	4	10	-14	-7.2	13
18	Karagumruk	18	2	3	13	-19	-13.0	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	10	7	3	0	+14	+12.1	24
2	Fenerbahce	8	6	2	0	+12	+15.5	20
3	Trabzonspor	9	5	4	0	+10	+6.1	19
4	Kocaelispor	9	5	3	1	+5	+5.0	18
5	Goztep	8	4	3	1	+6	+3.0	15
6	Besiktas	8	4	2	2	+3	+8.4	14
7	Buyuksehyr	9	3	4	2	+4	+0.8	13
8	Genclerbirligi	8	4	1	3	+2	+2.7	13
9	Samsunspor	9	3	4	2	+0	+6.4	13
10	Alanyaspor	8	3	3	2	+3	-0.5	12
11	Gaziantep	9	3	2	4	-5	+3.0	11
12	Rizespor	9	3	1	5	-4	+5.4	10
13	Konyaspor	9	2	3	4	-2	-0.7	9
14	Eyüpspor	9	2	3	4	-6	-1.3	9
15	Kayserispor	8	1	3	4	-12	-4.0	6
16	Kasimpasa	9	0	5	4	-6	-1.1	5
17	Karagumruk	9	1	2	6	-8	-3.9	5
18	Antalyaspor	8	1	1	6	-13	-3.3	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	9	5	4	0	+13	+6.0	19
2	Galatasaray	8	6	1	1	+13	+7.4	19
3	Goztep	9	5	2	2	+6	+0.4	17
4	Trabzonspor	8	5	1	2	+3	-3.6	16
5	Besiktas	9	4	3	2	+5	+7.7	15
6	Buyuksehyr	9	4	1	4	+6	-0.1	13
7	Gaziantep	9	3	4	2	-1	-5.1	13
8	Samsunspor	8	3	3	2	+2	+0.5	12
9	Antalyaspor	10	3	3	4	-2	-7.8	12
10	Kasimpasa	9	3	2	4	-4	-8.8	11
11	Alanyaspor	9	1	6	2	-2	-3.0	9
12	Kayserispor	9	1	6	2	-5	-5.3	9
13	Rizespor	8	1	5	2	+0	-4.6	8
14	Konyaspor	8	2	2	4	-6	-5.4	8
15	Genclerbirligi	9	1	2	6	-5	-11.0	5
16	Kocaelispor	8	1	2	5	-7	-5.9	5
17	Eyüpspor	8	1	1	6	-8	-5.9	4
18	Karagumruk	9	1	1	7	-11	-9.1	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.