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Excelsior Maassluis

T S T S S

2–7

Full-time

Ajax

T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Excelsior Maassluis Ajax

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,2

3,3

Scored

2,0

1,8

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–4

32% Possession 68%

12 Shots 15

4 Shots on target 10

5 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 4

3 Offside 2

6 Free kicks against 4

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hsc 21	3	3	0	0	+8	9
2	Hoogeveen	4	3	0	1	+4	9
3	Hoek	4	3	0	1	+1	9
4	Sportlust '46	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	SC Genemuiden	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	Telstar	2	2	0	0	+8	6
7	Heracles	2	2	0	0	+6	6
8	Spakenburg	2	2	0	0	+6	6
9	De Treffers	2	2	0	0	+5	6
10	Excelsior Maassluis	2	2	0	0	+5	6
11	Eemdijk	3	2	0	1	+4	6
12	Nijmegen	2	2	0	0	+3	6
13	Halsteren	3	2	0	1	+2	6
14	Capelle	3	2	0	1	+1	6
15	Dovo	3	2	0	1	+1	6
16	ROHDA Raalte	3	2	0	1	+1	6
17	Gemert	3	2	0	1	+1	6
18	GVVV Veenendaal	3	2	0	1	+0	6
19	Sparta Nijkerk	3	2	0	1	+0	6
20	FC Lisse	3	2	0	1	-1	6
21	Den Bosch	2	1	1	0	+1	4
22	Barendrecht	2	1	1	0	+1	4
23	Willem II	1	1	0	0	+7	3
24	Roda	1	1	0	0	+4	3
25	Kozakken Boys	2	1	0	1	+3	3
26	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+3	3
27	Twente	1	1	0	0	+3	3
28	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+3	3
29	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
30	Excelsior '31	2	1	0	1	+2	3
31	Kloetinge	2	1	0	1	+2	3
32	Hercules	2	1	0	1	+2	3
33	Koninklijke HFC	2	1	0	1	+2	3
34	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	Almere City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
36	FC OSS	1	1	0	0	+2	3
37	Zwolle	2	1	0	1	+1	3
38	ASWH	2	1	0	1	+1	3
39	Waalwijk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	UDI '19	2	1	0	1	+1	3
41	Roosendaal	2	1	0	1	+1	3
42	Volendam	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
44	Meerssen	2	1	0	1	+1	3
45	For Sittard	1	1	0	0	+1	3
46	't Zand	2	1	0	1	+0	3
47	TEC	2	1	0	1	+0	3
48	Noordwijk	2	1	0	1	+0	3
49	HHC	2	1	0	1	+0	3
50	AFC Amsterdam	2	1	0	1	-1	3
51	HZVV	2	1	0	1	-2	3
52	SVV Scheveningen	2	1	0	1	-2	3
53	URK	2	1	0	1	-2	3
54	ARC	2	1	0	1	-4	3
55	Groene Ster	2	0	2	0	+0	2
56	Den Haag	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	Heino	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	De Foresters	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	Vitesse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
60	VVOG	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	VV Scherpenzeel	2	0	1	1	-1	1
62	Katwijk	2	0	1	1	-1	1
63	Blauw Geel	2	0	1	1	-1	1
64	Cambuur	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	FC Eindhoven	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Poortugaal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Quick Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Huizen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	UNA	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Zwaluwen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Westlandia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Excelsior	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Rijnvogels	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	De Graafschap	1	0	0	1	-2	0
79	Aalsmeer	1	0	0	1	-2	0
80	Mierlo-Hout	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	MVV	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	ACV	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Walcheren	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	ADO '20	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	Staphorst	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
88	AWC	1	0	0	1	-2	0
89	Juliana '31	1	0	0	1	-2	0
90	RKAV Volendam	1	0	0	1	-3	0
91	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
92	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
93	Sportclub 25	1	0	0	1	-3	0
94	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-3	0
95	Hollandia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
96	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
97	DVO	1	0	0	1	-3	0
98	Olde Veste '54	1	0	0	1	-3	0
99	FC Emmen	2	0	0	2	-4	0
100	GOES	1	0	0	1	-4	0
101	Kampong	1	0	0	1	-4	0
102	Dongen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
103	Erp	1	0	0	1	-4	0
104	Velocitas	1	0	0	1	-5	0
105	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hoek	4	3	0	1	+1	9
2	Hoogeveen	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	De Treffers	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Hsc 21	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Eemdijk	3	2	0	1	+4	6
6	Halsteren	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	ROHDA Raalte	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	FC Lisse	3	2	0	1	-1	6
9	Sportlust '46	2	1	1	0	+3	4
10	Den Bosch	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Willem II	1	1	0	0	+7	3
12	Koninklijke HFC	1	1	0	0	+5	3
13	Spakenburg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Kozakken Boys	2	1	0	1	+3	3
15	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Heracles	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Kloetinge	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Hercules	2	1	0	1	+2	3
20	GVVV Veenendaal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	't Zand	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	SVV Scheveningen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Waalwijk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	TEC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Dovo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Excelsior Maassluis	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	SC Genemuiden	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Capelle	2	1	0	1	+0	3
29	Gemert	2	1	0	1	+0	3
30	Sparta Nijkerk	2	1	0	1	-1	3
31	Heino	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	De Foresters	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Groene Ster	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Katwijk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Blauw Geel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	VV Scherpenzeel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Quick Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	UNA	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Zwaluwen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	UDI '19	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Meerssen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Roosendaal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Aalsmeer	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	AFC Amsterdam	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Walcheren	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	ADO '20	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Noordwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	HHC	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	AWC	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Juliana '31	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
59	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
60	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	Olde Veste '54	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	HZVV	1	0	0	1	-4	0
64	Erp	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Telstar	2	2	0	0	+8	6
2	Nijmegen	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Barendrecht	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	SC Genemuiden	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Roda	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Excelsior Maassluis	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Heracles	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Zwolle	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Twente	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Hsc 21	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Excelsior '31	2	1	0	1	+2	3
13	HZVV	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	UDI '19	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Spakenburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Noordwijk	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Roosendaal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	HHC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Almere City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	FC OSS	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Meerssen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	ASWH	2	1	0	1	+1	3
24	Volendam	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Capelle	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
27	AFC Amsterdam	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Sparta Nijkerk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	For Sittard	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Sportlust '46	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Gemert	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Dovo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
33	Hoogeveen	2	1	0	1	-2	3
34	URK	2	1	0	1	-2	3
35	GVVV Veenendaal	2	1	0	1	-2	3
36	ARC	2	1	0	1	-4	3
37	Den Haag	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Groene Ster	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	VV Scherpenzeel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Vitesse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	VVOG	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Kloetinge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Cambuur	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	FC Eindhoven	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Poortugaal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Katwijk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Huizen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Blauw Geel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	TEC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Westlandia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Excelsior	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Halsteren	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Rijnvogels	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	De Graafschap	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Mierlo-Hout	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	MVV	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	't Zand	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	ACV	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Staphorst	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	RKAV Volendam	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Sportclub 25	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	Hollandia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Koninklijke HFC	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	DVO	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
68	GOES	1	0	0	1	-4	0
69	Kampong	1	0	0	1	-4	0
70	Dongen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
71	Velocitas	1	0	0	1	-5	0
72	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.