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Referee: S van der Eijk

Roda

T T T T S

1–1

Full-time

Go Ahead Eagles

T U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roda Go Ahead Eagles

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

100%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

5,2

3,8

Scored

2,0

1,2

Conceded

3,2

2,7

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

41% Possession 59%

13 Shots 27

4 Shots on target 8

3 Blocked shots 8

7 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 11

2 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hsc 21	3	3	0	0	+8	9
2	Hoogeveen	4	3	0	1	+4	9
3	Hoek	4	3	0	1	+1	9
4	Sportlust '46	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	SC Genemuiden	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	Telstar	2	2	0	0	+8	6
7	Heracles	2	2	0	0	+6	6
8	Spakenburg	2	2	0	0	+6	6
9	De Treffers	2	2	0	0	+5	6
10	Eemdijk	3	2	0	1	+4	6
11	Nijmegen	2	2	0	0	+3	6
12	Halsteren	3	2	0	1	+2	6
13	Capelle	3	2	0	1	+1	6
14	Dovo	3	2	0	1	+1	6
15	ROHDA Raalte	3	2	0	1	+1	6
16	Gemert	3	2	0	1	+1	6
17	Excelsior Maassluis	3	2	0	1	+0	6
18	GVVV Veenendaal	3	2	0	1	+0	6
19	Sparta Nijkerk	3	2	0	1	+0	6
20	FC Lisse	3	2	0	1	-1	6
21	Den Bosch	2	1	1	0	+1	4
22	Barendrecht	2	1	1	0	+1	4
23	Willem II	1	1	0	0	+7	3
24	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+5	3
25	Roda	1	1	0	0	+4	3
26	Kozakken Boys	2	1	0	1	+3	3
27	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+3	3
28	Twente	1	1	0	0	+3	3
29	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+3	3
30	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
31	Excelsior '31	2	1	0	1	+2	3
32	Kloetinge	2	1	0	1	+2	3
33	Hercules	2	1	0	1	+2	3
34	Koninklijke HFC	2	1	0	1	+2	3
35	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+2	3
36	Almere City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
37	FC OSS	1	1	0	0	+2	3
38	Zwolle	2	1	0	1	+1	3
39	ASWH	2	1	0	1	+1	3
40	Waalwijk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	UDI '19	2	1	0	1	+1	3
42	Roosendaal	2	1	0	1	+1	3
43	Volendam	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
45	Meerssen	2	1	0	1	+1	3
46	For Sittard	1	1	0	0	+1	3
47	't Zand	2	1	0	1	+0	3
48	TEC	2	1	0	1	+0	3
49	Noordwijk	2	1	0	1	+0	3
50	HHC	2	1	0	1	+0	3
51	AFC Amsterdam	2	1	0	1	-1	3
52	HZVV	2	1	0	1	-2	3
53	SVV Scheveningen	2	1	0	1	-2	3
54	URK	2	1	0	1	-2	3
55	ARC	2	1	0	1	-4	3
56	Groene Ster	2	0	2	0	+0	2
57	Den Haag	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	Heino	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	De Foresters	1	0	1	0	+0	1
60	Vitesse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	VVOG	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	VV Scherpenzeel	2	0	1	1	-1	1
63	Katwijk	2	0	1	1	-1	1
64	Blauw Geel	2	0	1	1	-1	1
65	Cambuur	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	FC Eindhoven	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Poortugaal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Quick Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Huizen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	UNA	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Zwaluwen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Westlandia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Excelsior	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Rijnvogels	1	0	0	1	-2	0
79	De Graafschap	1	0	0	1	-2	0
80	Aalsmeer	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	Mierlo-Hout	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	MVV	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	ACV	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Walcheren	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	ADO '20	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	Staphorst	1	0	0	1	-2	0
88	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
89	AWC	1	0	0	1	-2	0
90	Juliana '31	1	0	0	1	-2	0
91	RKAV Volendam	1	0	0	1	-3	0
92	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
93	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
94	Sportclub 25	1	0	0	1	-3	0
95	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-3	0
96	Hollandia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
97	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
98	DVO	1	0	0	1	-3	0
99	Olde Veste '54	1	0	0	1	-3	0
100	FC Emmen	2	0	0	2	-4	0
101	GOES	1	0	0	1	-4	0
102	Kampong	1	0	0	1	-4	0
103	Dongen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
104	Erp	1	0	0	1	-4	0
105	Velocitas	1	0	0	1	-5	0
106	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hoek	4	3	0	1	+1	9
2	Hoogeveen	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	De Treffers	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Hsc 21	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Eemdijk	3	2	0	1	+4	6
6	Halsteren	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	ROHDA Raalte	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	FC Lisse	3	2	0	1	-1	6
9	Sportlust '46	2	1	1	0	+3	4
10	Den Bosch	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Willem II	1	1	0	0	+7	3
12	Koninklijke HFC	1	1	0	0	+5	3
13	Spakenburg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Kozakken Boys	2	1	0	1	+3	3
15	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Heracles	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Kloetinge	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Hercules	2	1	0	1	+2	3
20	GVVV Veenendaal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	't Zand	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	SVV Scheveningen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Waalwijk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	TEC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Dovo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	SC Genemuiden	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Capelle	2	1	0	1	+0	3
28	Gemert	2	1	0	1	+0	3
29	Sparta Nijkerk	2	1	0	1	-1	3
30	Excelsior Maassluis	2	1	0	1	-4	3
31	Heino	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	De Foresters	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Groene Ster	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Katwijk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Blauw Geel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	VV Scherpenzeel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Quick Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	UNA	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Zwaluwen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	UDI '19	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Meerssen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Roosendaal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Aalsmeer	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	AFC Amsterdam	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Walcheren	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	ADO '20	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Noordwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	HHC	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	AWC	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Juliana '31	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
59	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
60	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	Olde Veste '54	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	HZVV	1	0	0	1	-4	0
64	Erp	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Telstar	2	2	0	0	+8	6
2	Nijmegen	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Barendrecht	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	SC Genemuiden	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+5	3
6	Roda	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Excelsior Maassluis	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Heracles	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Zwolle	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Twente	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Hsc 21	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Excelsior '31	2	1	0	1	+2	3
14	HZVV	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	UDI '19	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Spakenburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Noordwijk	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Roosendaal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	HHC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Almere City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	FC OSS	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Meerssen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	ASWH	2	1	0	1	+1	3
25	Volendam	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Capelle	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
28	AFC Amsterdam	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Sparta Nijkerk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	For Sittard	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Sportlust '46	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Gemert	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Dovo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
34	Hoogeveen	2	1	0	1	-2	3
35	URK	2	1	0	1	-2	3
36	GVVV Veenendaal	2	1	0	1	-2	3
37	ARC	2	1	0	1	-4	3
38	Den Haag	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Groene Ster	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	VV Scherpenzeel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Vitesse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	VVOG	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Kloetinge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Cambuur	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	FC Eindhoven	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Poortugaal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Katwijk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Huizen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Blauw Geel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	TEC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Westlandia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Excelsior	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Halsteren	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Rijnvogels	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	De Graafschap	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Mierlo-Hout	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	MVV	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	't Zand	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	ACV	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Staphorst	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	RKAV Volendam	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	Sportclub 25	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Hollandia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	Koninklijke HFC	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	DVO	1	0	0	1	-3	0
68	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
69	GOES	1	0	0	1	-4	0
70	Kampong	1	0	0	1	-4	0
71	Dongen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
72	Velocitas	1	0	0	1	-5	0
73	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.