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Super League
Referee: S Horisberger
Lugano
T U U S S
5–1
Full-time
Grasshoppers
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Grasshoppers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,0
3,3
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
This season — Super League · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 37%
37%
37%
Points per game
1,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
70%
80%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,6
Conceded
1,3
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

59% Possession 41%
14 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 6
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
0 Corners 9
2 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lugano 4. · Grasshoppers 5. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 30 17 10 3 +45 61
2 Luzern 30 12 9 9 +8 45
3 Servette 30 10 14 6 -1 44
4 Lugano 30 11 10 9 +4 43
5 Grasshoppers 30 11 7 12 -2 40
6 Basel 30 9 12 9 +3 39
7 St. Gallen 30 9 9 12 +7 36
8 Zurich 30 7 12 11 -18 33
9 Sion 30 7 9 14 -19 30
10 Winterthur 30 7 8 15 -27 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

2. Apr -23 Grasshoppers – Lugano 2–1 28. Jan -23 Lugano – Grasshoppers 1–1 24. Jul -22 Grasshoppers – Lugano 2–1 30. Apr -22 Lugano – Grasshoppers 1–1 3. Mar -22 Grasshoppers – Lugano 1–2

Match report

Lugano Grasshoppers
10′
🟨 Ayumu Seko
1–0 I. Aliseda ⚽
J. Espinoza
25′
Jonathan Sabbatini 🟨
28′
Renato Steffen 🟨
39′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 F. de Carvalho
↦ B. Bolla
48′
⚽ S. Demhasaj 1–1
Roman Macek 🟨
56′
58′
🟨 Christián Herc
2–1 M. Amoura ⚽
R. Steffen
59′
A. Arigoni 🔁
↦ F. Daprelà
62′
U. Bislimi 🔁
↦ R. Macek
63′
63′
🔁 A. Abrashi
↦ C. Herc
63′
🔁 R. Dadaşov
↦ G. Morandi
3–1 M. Amoura ⚽
J. Espinoza
64′
Ž. Celar 🔁
↦ M. Amoura
69′
4–1 Ž. Celar ⚽
I. Aliseda
70′
5–1 I. Aliseda ⚽
J. Espinoza
78′
C. Nkama 🔁
↦ J. Sabbatini
80′
M. Facchinetti 🔁
↦ M. Valenzuela
80′
84′
🔁 F. Hoxha
↦ H. Kawabe
84′
🔁 Nadjack
↦ Tomás Ribeiro
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Lugano

3-4-3
1 A. Saipi G
20 O. Doumbia D
4 K. Hajrizi D
30 F. Daprelà D
6 J. Espinoza M
77 R. Macek M
14 J. Sabbatini M
23 M. Valenzuela M
11 R. Steffen F
47 M. Amoura F
31 I. Aliseda F
Bench (8)
34 A. Arigoni
25 U. Bislimi
9 Ž. Celar
24 C. Nkama
7 M. Facchinetti
58 S. Osigwe
29 H. Mahmoud
10 M. Bottani

Coach: M. Croci-Torti

Grasshoppers

4-2-3-1
1 André Moreira G
34 T. Hara D
15 A. Seko D
14 Tomás Ribeiro D
31 D. Schmid D
40 H. Kawabe M
28 C. Herc M
77 B. Bolla M
10 P. Pušić M
8 G. Morandi M
9 S. Demhasaj F
Bench (8)
57 F. de Carvalho
6 A. Abrashi
27 R. Dadaşov
73 F. Hoxha
25 Nadjack
17 D. Kacuri
71 J. Hammel
20 N. Blasucci

Coach: G. Contini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Horisberger · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.