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Super League
Referee: F San
Young Boys
U T S T S
1–1
Full-time
Basel
U T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Young Boys Basel
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,2
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
This season — Super League · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
63%
44%
Both score Ø 69%
69%
69%
Average goals
3,6
3,2
Scored
2,3
2,2
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

53% Possession 47%
22 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 5
0 Goalkeeper saves 7
11 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Young Boys 4. · Basel 2. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Zurich 17 11 4 2 +15 37
2 Basel 16 8 7 1 +19 31
3 Lugano 17 9 3 5 +6 30
4 Young Boys 16 8 4 4 +16 28
5 Grasshoppers 17 5 7 5 +6 22
6 Servette 17 6 4 7 -3 22
7 Sion 17 5 3 9 -13 18
8 St. Gallen 17 4 4 9 -15 16
9 Lausanne 17 2 6 9 -17 12
10 Luzern 17 1 8 8 -14 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

29. Aug -21 Basel – Young Boys 1–1 8. May -21 Young Boys – Basel 2–0 3. Mar -21 Basel – Young Boys 1–1 16. Dec -20 Basel – Young Boys 0–2 21. Nov -20 Young Boys – Basel 2–1

Match report

Young Boys Basel
Cedric Zesiger 🟨
-5′
-5′
🟨 Sebastiano Esposito
1–0 M. Elia ⚽
W. Kanga
20′
27′
🟨 Matías Palacios
37′
⚽ L. Millar 1–1
R. Petretta
J. Siebatcheu 🔁
↦ W. Kanga
44′
Half-time 1–1
Vincent Sierro 🟨
51′
Silvan Hefti ℹ️
VAR: Penalty awarded
54′
Nicolas Moumie Ngamaleu 🟨
57′
Q. Maceiras 🔁
↦ M. Ngamaleu
62′
75′
🔁 D. Males
↦ M. Palacios
M. Sulejmani 🔁
↦ S. Hefti
80′
N. Maier 🔁
↦ F. Rieder
80′
81′
🔁 S.Esposito
↦ D. Ndoye
81′
🔁 W. Burger
↦ Jordi Quintillà
87′
🟨 Wouter Burger
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Young Boys

4-4-2
61 L. Zbinden G
28 F. Lustenberger D
25 J. Lefort D
36 S. Hefti D
4 Mohamed Camara D
35 C. Martins M
13 M. Ngamaleu M
8 V. Sierro M
32 F. Rieder M
9 W. Kanga F
15 M. Elia F
Bench (9)
17 J. Siebatcheu
24 Q. Maceiras
10 M. Sulejmani
22 N. Maier
11 A. Jankewitz
14 N. Bürgy
5 C. Zesiger
23 N. Ammeter
29 Y. Toure

Coach: D. Wagner

Basel

4-2-3-1
1 H. Lindner G
28 R. Petretta D
22 Sergio López D
21 A. Pelmard D
20 F. Frei D
7 P. Kasami M
8 Jordi Quintillà M
35 M. Palacios M
10 Arthur Cabral F
17 L. Millar M
27 D. Ndoye M
Bench (9)
19 D. Males
9 S.Esposito
23 W. Burger
5 M. Lang
46 F. Gebhardt
14 V. Stocker
30 Tomás Tavares
4 E. Cömert
96 Joelson Fernandes

Coach: P. Rahmen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U ✓
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F San · 137 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.