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Super League

Referee: A Jaccottet

Luzern

T T T U U

1–0

Full-time

Xamax

U U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern Xamax

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,0

3,0

Scored

0,7

1,0

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-1,0

This season — Super League · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 7%

14%

Points per game

0,9

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

29%

71%

Both score Ø 57%

43%

71%

Average goals

2,0

3,1

Scored

0,9

1,1

Conceded

1,1

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%

23 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 2

11 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

9 Corners 1

3 Offside 3

8 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Luzern 7. · Xamax 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Basel	8	6	1	1	+13	19
2	Young Boys	8	4	4	0	+8	16
3	Sion	8	5	1	2	+3	16
4	St. Gallen	8	4	1	3	+1	13
5	Servette	7	2	3	2	+1	9
6	Zurich	8	2	2	4	-11	8
7	Luzern	7	1	3	3	-2	6
8	Thun	8	1	3	4	-6	6
9	Lugano	7	1	2	4	-1	5
10	Xamax	7	0	4	3	-6	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Basel	4	3	0	1	+6	9
2	Young Boys	4	2	2	0	+6	8
3	Zurich	4	2	1	1	-1	7
4	St. Gallen	4	2	0	2	+0	6
5	Sion	4	2	0	2	-1	6
6	Servette	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Lugano	3	0	2	1	-1	2
8	Luzern	3	0	2	1	-2	2
9	Thun	5	0	2	3	-6	2
10	Xamax	4	0	1	3	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Basel	4	3	1	0	+7	10
2	Sion	4	3	1	0	+4	10
3	Young Boys	4	2	2	0	+2	8
4	St. Gallen	4	2	1	1	+1	7
5	Servette	4	1	1	2	+0	4
6	Luzern	4	1	1	2	+0	4
7	Thun	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Lugano	4	1	0	3	+0	3
9	Xamax	3	0	3	0	+0	3
10	Zurich	4	0	1	3	-10	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.