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Super League
Referee: L Fähndrich
St. Gallen
S S S U U
4–1
Full-time
Luzern
U S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gallen Luzern
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,8
3,2
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
This season — Super League · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 50%
60%
40%
Points per game
2,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
80%
47%
Both score Ø 60%
77%
43%
Average goals
3,6
2,6
Scored
2,1
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

49% Possession 51%
19 Shots 6
10 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 1
3 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 25
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St. Gallen 2. · Luzern 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 31 18 7 6 +29 61
2 St. Gallen 30 18 5 7 +20 59
3 Basel 31 17 4 10 +31 55
4 Servette 31 11 12 8 +13 45
5 Luzern 30 12 6 12 -3 42
6 Zurich 30 12 6 12 -16 42
7 Lugano 31 8 12 11 -4 36
8 Thun 31 8 5 18 -27 29
9 Sion 30 7 7 16 -18 28
10 Xamax 31 4 12 15 -25 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.