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Super League

Referee: A Jaccottet

Luzern

T U S S T

3–3

Full-time

Lugano

S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern Lugano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,2

This season — Super League · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 35%

41%

28%

Points per game

1,4

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

45%

48%

Both score Ø 45%

41%

48%

Average goals

2,4

2,3

Scored

1,2

1,1

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

63% Possession 37%

18 Shots 10

7 Shots on target 5

6 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

10 Corners 0

1 Offside 0

15 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Luzern 6. · Lugano 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	30	17	7	6	+27	58
2	St. Gallen	29	18	4	7	+20	58
3	Basel	30	16	4	10	+27	52
4	Servette	29	11	11	7	+15	44
5	Zurich	29	12	6	11	-12	42
6	Luzern	29	12	5	12	-3	41
7	Lugano	29	8	10	11	-4	34
8	Sion	29	7	6	16	-18	27
9	Thun	29	7	4	18	-30	25
10	Xamax	29	4	11	14	-22	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	15	13	2	0	+31	41
2	Basel	15	10	2	3	+21	32
3	St. Gallen	15	9	2	4	+9	29
4	Servette	14	7	5	2	+12	26
5	Luzern	14	7	3	4	+4	24
6	Zurich	14	7	2	5	-6	23
7	Lugano	15	4	7	4	-2	19
8	Sion	15	4	4	7	-5	16
9	Thun	14	4	3	7	-11	15
10	Xamax	15	2	4	9	-9	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gallen	14	9	2	3	+11	29
2	Basel	15	6	2	7	+6	20
3	Zurich	15	5	4	6	-6	19
4	Servette	15	4	6	5	+3	18
5	Young Boys	15	4	5	6	-4	17
6	Luzern	15	5	2	8	-7	17
7	Lugano	14	4	3	7	-2	15
8	Xamax	14	2	7	5	-13	13
9	Sion	14	3	2	9	-13	11
10	Thun	15	3	1	11	-19	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.