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Super League

Referee: S Schärer

Lugano

U T S U U

2–0

Full-time

Luzern

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Luzern

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

1,0

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

1,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,0

This season — Super League · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 34%

25%

42%

Points per game

1,1

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

46%

Both score Ø 48%

50%

46%

Average goals

2,2

2,4

Scored

1,0

1,1

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

37% Possession 63%

9 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 3

0 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 18

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lugano 7. · Luzern 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gallen	24	15	3	6	+21	48
2	Young Boys	25	14	6	5	+15	48
3	Basel	25	13	4	8	+24	43
4	Servette	24	10	8	6	+15	38
5	Luzern	24	10	4	10	-4	34
6	Zurich	24	9	5	10	-18	32
7	Lugano	24	6	9	9	-3	27
8	Sion	24	6	5	13	-14	23
9	Xamax	25	4	10	11	-13	22
10	Thun	25	6	4	15	-23	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	12	10	2	0	+18	32
2	Basel	12	7	2	3	+16	23
3	St. Gallen	12	7	2	3	+11	23
4	Servette	12	6	4	2	+10	22
5	Luzern	12	6	2	4	+1	20
6	Zurich	12	5	2	5	-9	17
7	Sion	12	3	3	6	-4	12
8	Lugano	12	2	6	4	-5	12
9	Thun	13	3	3	7	-12	12
10	Xamax	13	2	3	8	-8	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gallen	12	8	1	3	+10	25
2	Basel	13	6	2	5	+8	20
3	Servette	12	4	4	4	+5	16
4	Young Boys	13	4	4	5	-3	16
5	Lugano	12	4	3	5	+2	15
6	Zurich	12	4	3	5	-9	15
7	Luzern	12	4	2	6	-5	14
8	Xamax	12	2	7	3	-5	13
9	Sion	12	3	2	7	-10	11
10	Thun	12	3	1	8	-11	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.