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Serie B
Referee: A Calzavara
Carrarese
U S S S T
0–0
Full-time
Sudtirol
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Carrarese Sudtirol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie B · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 30%
32%
27%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
59%
36%
Both score Ø 57%
55%
59%
Average goals
2,9
2,1
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,59 xG 0,74
63% Possession 37%
15 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
5 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Carrarese 9. · Sudtirol 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Venezia 22 14 5 3 +25 +22.3 47
2 Frosinone 22 13 7 2 +21 +3.0 46
3 Monza 22 13 5 4 +16 +7.5 44
4 Palermo 22 11 8 3 +19 +7.4 41
5 Cesena 23 11 4 8 +4 +5.8 37
6 Modena 22 9 7 6 +11 +5.4 34
7 Juve Stabia 22 8 10 4 +1 +1.2 34
8 Catanzaro 22 8 8 6 +2 -0.7 32
9 Carrarese 22 7 8 7 -1 -7.6 29
10 Sudtirol 22 6 10 6 +1 -5.0 28
11 Empoli 22 7 7 8 -2 +0.5 28
12 Avellino 22 7 7 8 -8 -9.1 28
13 Padova 22 6 7 9 -6 -4.0 25
14 Sampdoria 22 5 7 10 -7 +0.1 22
15 Reggiana 22 5 6 11 -7 -2.9 21
16 Virtus Entella 22 4 9 9 -10 -4.9 21
17 Spezia 22 5 5 12 -10 +1.9 20
18 Mantova 22 5 5 12 -14 -3.7 20
19 Bari 22 4 8 10 -16 -12.3 20
20 Pescara 23 2 9 12 -19 -5.0 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Carrarese Sudtirol
Half-time 0–0
49′
🟨 Simone Davì
63′
🔁 D. Crnigoj
↦ M. R. Frigerio
63′
🔁 R. Odogwu
↦ E. Pecorino
67′
🟨 Silvio Merkaj
67′
🔁 S. Verdi
↦ S. Merkaj
F. Di Stefano 🔁
↦ T. Rubino
70′
Fabio Abiuso 🟨
79′
M. Finotto 🔁
↦ L. Hasa
81′
J. Rouhi 🔁
↦ N. Belloni
81′
89′
🔁 F. Bordon
↦ D. Casiraghi
89′
🔁 D. Brik
↦ F. Tait
F. Melegoni 🔁
↦ E. Zuelli
90′
E. Torregrossa 🔁
↦ F. Abiuso
90′
Filippo Oliana 🟨
93′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Carrarese

3-1-4-2
1 M. Bleve G
37 N. Calabrese D
6 F. Oliana D
3 M. Imperiale D
18 N. Schiavi M
72 S. Zanon M
17 E. Zuelli M
70 L. Hasa M
7 N. Belloni M
9 F. Abiuso F
21 T. Rubino F
Bench (12)
99 V. Fiorillo
8 F. Melegoni
25 D. Lordkipanidze
26 F. Ruggeri
28 F. Di Stefano
32 M. Finotto
44 N. Sekulov
73 J. Rouhi
77 G. Parlanti
78 T. Guercio
80 F. Accornero
92 E. Torregrossa

Coach: Antonio Calabro

Sudtirol

3-5-2
31 M. Adamonis G
94 H. El Kaouakibi D
28 R. Kofler D
34 F. Veseli D
79 S. Molina M
21 F. Tait M
26 M. R. Frigerio M
17 D. Casiraghi M
24 S. Davi M
33 S. Merkaj F
9 E. Pecorino F
Bench (12)
1 D. Borra
22 A. Cragno
3 F. Bordon
4 D. Mancini
5 A. Masiello
11 R. Tonin
13 C. Sabatini
7 K. Zedadka
46 D. Brik
89 D. Crnigoj
90 R. Odogwu
99 S. Verdi

Coach: Fabrizio Castori

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,41
U ✓
2,90
B
3,09
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,09
U2,5 ✓
1,67
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Calzavara · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.