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Super League
Referee: D Blanco
Sion
T S U U U
0–0
Full-time
Luzern
T S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sion Luzern
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,7
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 30%
36%
23%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
45%
77%
Both score Ø 66%
55%
77%
Average goals
2,8
3,8
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
12 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 4
0 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sion 5. · Luzern 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Thun 22 16 1 5 +22 +0.3 49
2 Lugano 22 12 4 6 +11 +1.2 40
3 St. Gallen 21 12 2 7 +14 +3.8 38
4 Basel 22 10 6 6 +8 +12.2 36
5 Sion 22 8 9 5 +6 +4.2 33
6 Young Boys 22 9 5 8 -2 -0.4 32
7 Lausanne 22 7 7 8 +2 +5.5 28
8 Servette 22 6 7 9 -5 +3.3 25
9 Zurich 22 7 4 11 -11 +2.6 25
10 Luzern 22 5 8 9 -3 -4.6 23
11 Grasshoppers 22 4 7 11 -11 -13.9 19
12 Winterthur 21 3 4 14 -31 -14.1 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sion Luzern
18′
🟨 Bung Meng Freimann
35′
🟨 Lars Villiger
Half-time 0–0
50′
🟨 Pius Dorn
L. Diack 🔁
↦ A. Kabacalman
68′
J. Lukembila 🔁
↦ T. Berdayes
68′
B. Kololli 🔁
↦ L. Chipperfield
68′
70′
🔁 O. Kabwit
↦ J. Von Moos
Nias Hefti 🟨
77′
79′
🟨 Lucas Silva
W. Boteli 🔁
↦ R. Nivokazi
82′
82′
🔁 A. Grbic
↦ L. Villiger
89′
🔁 L. Winkler
↦ T. Abe
89′
🔁 S. Karweina
↦ M. Di Giusto
Marquinhos Cipriano 🟨
91′
91′
🟨 Adrian Grbić
A. Llukes 🔁
↦ Y. Chouaref
92′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Sion

4-3-3
1 A. Racioppi G
20 N. Hefti D
28 K. Hajrizi D
17 J. Kronig D
6 Marquinhos Cipriano D
21 L. Chipperfield M
88 A. Kabacalman M
8 Baltazar M
29 T. Berdayes F
33 R. Nivokazi F
7 Y. Chouaref F
Bench (9)
5 N. Sow
12 F. Ruberto
13 W. Boteli
19 F. Surdez
22 A. Llukes
24 M. Dubosson
25 L. Diack
39 J. Lukembila
70 B. Kololli

Coach: Didier Tholot

Luzern

4-4-2
1 P. Loretz G
20 P. Dorn D
46 B. Freimann D
4 A. Bajrami D
22 R. Dantas D
73 L. M. Silva Ferreira M
24 T. Owusu M
6 T. Abe M
11 M. Di Giusto M
81 J. Von Moos F
27 L. Villiger F
Bench (9)
90 V. Vasic
2 S. Ottiger
29 L. Winkler
34 D. Xhemalija
10 S. Karweina
9 A. Grbic
19 A. Vasovic
39 S. Wyss
16 O. Kabwit

Coach: Mario Frick

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.