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Bundesliga
Referee: A Kijas
Hartberg
T T S T U
0–1
Full-time
A. Lustenau
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hartberg A. Lustenau
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
This season — Bundesliga · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 28%
23%
32%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
64%
55%
Both score Ø 55%
55%
55%
Average goals
2,9
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,9
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

56% Possession 44%
13 Shots 12
1 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 5
3 Offside 4
10 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hartberg 11. · A. Lustenau 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 22 17 4 1 +36 55
2 Sturm Graz 22 14 6 2 +22 48
3 LASK 22 10 8 4 +10 38
4 Austria Vienna 22 10 5 7 +6 35
5 SK Rapid 22 10 3 9 +8 33
6 A. Klagenfurt 22 9 3 10 -5 30
7 Tirol 22 8 4 10 -5 28
8 A. Lustenau 22 7 6 9 -8 27
9 Wolfsberger AC 22 6 3 13 -6 21
10 Ried 22 4 6 12 -16 18
11 Hartberg 22 5 3 14 -20 18
12 Altach 22 4 5 13 -22 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hartberg A. Lustenau
28′
D. Grujčić 0–1
32′
🔁 F. Gmeiner
↦ Anderson
Lukas Fadinger 🟨
43′
43′
🟨 Nemanja Motika
Half-time 0–1
M. Horvat 🔁
↦ O. Diakité
46′
Donis Avdijaj 🟨
60′
D. Tadić 🔁
↦ D. Frieser
62′
M. Sangaré 🔁
↦ D. Prokop
62′
64′
🔁 L. Fridrikas
↦ Y. Diaby
77′
🔁 C. Türkmen
↦ D. Tiefenbach
78′
🔁 M. Cheukoua
↦ N. Motika
R. Kriwak 🔁
↦ D. Avdijaj
80′
M. Kröpfl 🔁
↦ R. Providence
89′
Matija Horvat 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Pius Grabher
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Hartberg

4-1-4-1
35 R. Sallinger G
23 T. Kainz D
31 T. Rotter D
12 M. Steinwender D
20 M. Pfeifer D
32 O. Diakité M
33 D. Frieser M
10 D. Avdijaj M
8 L. Fadinger M
27 D. Prokop M
70 R. Providence F
Bench (7)
11 M. Horvat
24 D. Tadić
45 M. Sangaré
39 R. Kriwak
17 M. Kröpfl
40 F. Ehmann
16 M. Sonnleitner

Coach: M. Schopp

A. Lustenau

3-5-2
27 D. Schierl G
35 Adriel D
5 J. Hugonet D
6 D. Grujčić D
28 Anderson M
70 S. Surdanović M
23 P. Grabher M
33 D. Tiefenbach M
12 H. Guenouche M
10 N. Motika F
22 Y. Diaby F
Bench (7)
7 F. Gmeiner
20 L. Fridrikas
8 C. Türkmen
11 M. Cheukoua
14 H. Koudossou
13 A. Helac
9 E. Gedikli

Coach: M. Mader

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Kijas · 62 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.