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Ekstraklasa

Referee: P Malec

Korona Kielce

T S U U T

2–0

Full-time

Ruch Chorzow

T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Korona Kielce Ruch Chorzow

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,2

3,3

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 18%

19%

16%

Points per game

1,0

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

38%

53%

Both score Ø 56%

56%

Average goals

2,5

2,8

Scored

1,1

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,91 xG 0,65

47% Possession 53%

26 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 2

8 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 4

20 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Korona Kielce 16. · Ruch Chorzow 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Jagiellonia	32	17	8	7	+29	+15.4	59
2	Slask Wroclaw	32	16	9	7	+16	+7.0	57
3	Legia	32	14	11	7	+10	+9.8	53
4	Gornik Zabrze	33	15	8	10	+5	-5.7	53
5	Pogon Szczecin	33	15	7	11	+20	+15.2	52
6	Rakow	32	14	10	8	+18	+22.5	52
7	Lech Poznan	32	14	10	8	+7	-6.2	52
8	Zaglebie	32	12	8	12	-7	+2.1	44
9	Stal Mielec	33	11	10	12	-5	-16.6	43
10	Piast Gliwice	32	9	15	8	+4	+16.2	42
11	Widzew Lodz	32	12	6	14	-3	-2.7	42
12	Radomiak Radom	32	10	8	14	-13	-3.5	38
13	Warta Poznan	32	9	10	13	-6	-10.9	37
14	Puszcza	33	8	13	12	-11	-15.6	37
15	Cracovia	32	7	15	10	-1	-1.3	36
16	Korona Kielce	32	6	14	12	-7	-1.2	32
17	Ruch Chorzow	32	5	14	13	-15	-6.8	29
18	LKS Lodz	32	5	6	21	-41	-17.6	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Jagiellonia	16	11	3	2	+27	+14.5	36
2	Rakow	16	10	5	1	+23	+15.0	35
3	Gornik Zabrze	17	9	5	3	+9	-1.5	32
4	Lech Poznan	16	9	4	3	+14	+1.0	31
5	Stal Mielec	17	8	6	3	+8	-5.0	30
6	Slask Wroclaw	16	8	4	4	+11	+10.6	28
7	Piast Gliwice	16	7	6	3	+10	+15.2	27
8	Legia	16	7	6	3	+8	+8.5	27
9	Widzew Lodz	16	9	0	7	+0	+4.3	27
10	Pogon Szczecin	16	8	2	6	+9	+15.9	26
11	Puszcza	16	6	8	2	+2	-0.2	26
12	Korona Kielce	16	5	8	3	+6	+9.1	23
13	Zaglebie	16	6	5	5	+0	+1.3	23
14	Warta Poznan	16	5	5	6	+0	-2.7	20
15	Cracovia	16	4	7	5	+5	+1.8	19
16	Radomiak Radom	16	4	5	7	-6	+2.0	17
17	LKS Lodz	16	4	5	7	-11	-8.7	17
18	Ruch Chorzow	16	3	7	6	-3	+2.4	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Slask Wroclaw	16	8	5	3	+5	-3.6	29
2	Pogon Szczecin	17	7	5	5	+11	-0.6	26
3	Legia	16	7	5	4	+2	+1.2	26
4	Jagiellonia	16	6	5	5	+2	+0.9	23
5	Gornik Zabrze	16	6	3	7	-4	-4.3	21
6	Zaglebie	16	6	3	7	-7	+0.8	21
7	Radomiak Radom	16	6	3	7	-7	-5.5	21
8	Lech Poznan	16	5	6	5	-7	-7.2	21
9	Rakow	16	4	5	7	-5	+7.4	17
10	Warta Poznan	16	4	5	7	-6	-8.3	17
11	Cracovia	16	3	8	5	-6	-3.1	17
12	Widzew Lodz	16	3	6	7	-3	-7.0	15
13	Piast Gliwice	16	2	9	5	-6	+1.0	15
14	Ruch Chorzow	16	2	7	7	-12	-9.3	13
15	Stal Mielec	16	3	4	9	-13	-11.6	13
16	Puszcza	17	2	5	10	-13	-15.4	11
17	Korona Kielce	16	1	6	9	-13	-10.2	9
18	LKS Lodz	16	1	1	14	-30	-8.9	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.