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Premiership

Referee: N Walsh

St Mirren

S T T U U

3–1

Full-time

Aberdeen

S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren Aberdeen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,3

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,3

This season — Premiership · 15/17 matches

Win Ø 44%

40%

47%

Points per game

1,4

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

60%

65%

Both score Ø 50%

40%

59%

Average goals

2,7

3,4

Scored

1,1

1,8

Conceded

1,5

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

33% Possession 67%

16 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 5

6 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 5

1 Offside 0

16 Free kicks against 8

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match St Mirren 7. · Aberdeen 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	17	16	0	1	+39	48
2	Rangers	18	13	3	2	+23	42
3	Aberdeen	17	8	1	8	+4	25
4	Hearts	16	7	3	6	+1	24
5	ST Johnstone	17	7	3	7	-1	24
6	Livingston	16	7	2	7	-6	23
7	St Mirren	15	6	3	6	-6	21
8	Hibernian	17	6	2	9	-6	20
9	Motherwell	17	5	3	9	-2	18
10	Kilmarnock	18	4	4	10	-17	16
11	Ross County	18	4	3	11	-15	15
12	Dundee United	16	3	3	10	-14	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	9	8	1	0	+20	25
2	Celtic	8	8	0	0	+18	24
3	Aberdeen	9	6	0	3	+14	18
4	St Mirren	9	5	3	1	+5	18
5	Hearts	8	5	1	2	+3	16
6	Livingston	8	5	0	3	+0	15
7	Hibernian	8	4	2	2	+4	14
8	Kilmarnock	8	4	2	2	-2	14
9	ST Johnstone	8	3	2	3	+2	11
10	Dundee United	8	3	0	5	-6	9
11	Ross County	10	2	2	6	-10	8
12	Motherwell	8	1	2	5	-6	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	9	8	0	1	+21	24
2	Rangers	9	5	2	2	+3	17
3	Motherwell	9	4	1	4	+4	13
4	ST Johnstone	9	4	1	4	-3	13
5	Hearts	8	2	2	4	-2	8
6	Livingston	8	2	2	4	-6	8
7	Ross County	8	2	1	5	-5	7
8	Aberdeen	8	2	1	5	-10	7
9	Hibernian	9	2	0	7	-10	6
10	Dundee United	8	0	3	5	-8	3
11	St Mirren	6	1	0	5	-11	3
12	Kilmarnock	10	0	2	8	-15	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.