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Premiership
Referee: W Collum
Rangers
U U S S S
1–2
Full-time
Celtic
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rangers Celtic
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,3
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,3
Scored
1,5
2,5
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,7
This season — Premiership · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 74%
71%
77%
Points per game
2,4
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
48%
58%
Both score Ø 44%
48%
39%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
2,0
2,2
Conceded
0,8
0,6
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

61% Possession 39%
15 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 4
6 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rangers 2. · Celtic 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 31 24 4 3 +51 76
2 Rangers 31 22 7 2 +37 73
3 Hearts 32 15 9 8 +13 54
4 Dundee United 32 10 10 12 -6 40
5 Motherwell 32 10 9 13 -12 39
6 Hibernian 32 9 11 12 -4 38
7 Ross County 32 9 10 13 -8 37
8 Livingston 32 10 7 15 -8 37
9 Aberdeen 32 9 9 14 -3 36
10 St Mirren 32 8 12 12 -16 36
11 ST Johnstone 32 7 9 16 -16 30
12 Dundee 32 5 9 18 -28 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rangers Celtic
1–0 A. Ramsey
R. Kent
3′
7′
T. Rogić 1–1
John Lundstram 🟨
41′
42′
C. Carter-Vickers 1–2
Half-time 1–2
62′
🔁 M. O'Riley
↦ T. Rogić
62′
🔁 N. Bitton
↦ R. Hatate
64′
🟨 Giorgos Giakoumakis
65′
🟨 Cameron Carter-Vickers
F. Sakala 🔁
↦ A. Ramsey
65′
S. Arfield 🔁
↦ R. Jack
66′
71′
🔁 A. Ralston
↦ G. Taylor
76′
🔁 D. Turnbull
↦ M. ORiley
76′
🔁 L. Abada
↦ Jota
82′
🟨 Nir Bitton
88′
🟨 Anthony Ralston
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Rangers

4-2-3-1
1 A. McGregor G
26 L. Balogun D
2 J. Tavernier D
6 C. Goldson D
3 C. Bassey D
8 R. Jack M
16 A. Ramsey M
4 J. Lundstram M
17 J. Ayodele-Aribo M
25 K. Roofe F
14 R. Kent M
Bench (9)
30 F. Sakala
37 S. Arfield
19 J. Sands
31 B. Barišić
18 G. Kamara
5 F. Helander
33 J. McLaughlin
10 S. Davis
9 A. Diallo

Coach: G. van Bronckhorst

Celtic

4-3-3
15 J. Hart G
4 C. Starfelt D
20 C. Carter-Vickers D
88 J. Juranović D
3 G. Taylor D
42 C. McGregor M
18 T. Rogić M
41 R. Hatate M
7 G. Giakoumakis F
17 Jota F
38 D. Maeda F
Bench (9)
33 M. O'Riley
6 N. Bitton
56 A. Ralston
14 D. Turnbull
11 L. Abada
16 J. McCarthy
21 Y. Ideguchi
19 M. Johnston
29 S. Bain

Coach: A. Postecoglou

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,52
U
3,33
B ✓
2,80
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,95
U2,5
1,85
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

W Collum · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.