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Primeira Liga

Referee: Nuno Miguel Serrano Almeida

Casa Pia

S S S T S

0–0

Full-time

Porto

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Casa Pia Porto

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

67%

83%

Points per game

2,0

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,8

Scored

1,3

3,2

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+2,5

This season — Primeira Liga · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 64%

57%

71%

Points per game

1,9

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

36%

57%

Both score Ø 43%

36%

50%

Average goals

1,9

3,3

Scored

1,1

2,6

Conceded

0,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

26% Possession 74%

2 Shots 25

0 Shots on target 9

0 Blocked shots 5

9 Goalkeeper saves 0

5 Corners 6

3 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 0

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Casa Pia 5. · Porto 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	15	13	1	1	+28	40
2	Sp Braga	15	11	1	3	+24	34
3	Porto	14	10	2	2	+26	32
4	Sp Lisbon	14	9	1	4	+14	28
5	Casa Pia	14	8	2	4	+4	26
6	Guimaraes	15	7	3	5	-2	24
7	Arouca	15	6	4	5	-7	22
8	Rio Ave	15	5	5	5	-2	20
9	Portimonense	15	6	1	8	-4	19
10	Chaves	14	5	4	5	-5	19
11	Vizela	15	5	3	7	+0	18
12	Famalicao	15	5	2	8	-4	17
13	Boavista	13	5	2	6	-9	17
14	Estoril	14	4	4	6	-6	16
15	Santa Clara	15	3	4	8	-7	13
16	Gil Vicente	14	3	3	8	-9	12
17	Maritimo	14	1	4	9	-19	7
18	Pacos Ferreira	14	0	2	12	-22	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	8	8	0	0	+21	24
2	Porto	7	6	0	1	+20	18
3	Sp Lisbon	7	6	0	1	+15	18
4	Guimaraes	8	5	2	1	+4	17
5	Sp Braga	7	4	1	2	+9	13
6	Rio Ave	7	4	1	2	+3	13
7	Arouca	8	4	1	3	-1	13
8	Famalicao	7	4	0	3	+2	12
9	Boavista	7	3	2	2	-3	11
10	Casa Pia	7	3	1	3	+1	10
11	Portimonense	8	3	1	4	-2	10
12	Santa Clara	8	2	3	3	-3	9
13	Gil Vicente	8	2	2	4	-3	8
14	Vizela	7	2	1	4	+0	7
15	Chaves	7	1	4	2	-1	7
16	Estoril	6	1	2	3	-6	5
17	Maritimo	6	0	2	4	-4	2
18	Pacos Ferreira	7	0	1	6	-11	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Braga	8	7	0	1	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	+7	16
3	Casa Pia	7	5	1	1	+3	16
4	Porto	7	4	2	1	+6	14
5	Chaves	7	4	0	3	-4	12
6	Vizela	8	3	2	3	+0	11
7	Estoril	8	3	2	3	+0	11
8	Sp Lisbon	7	3	1	3	-1	10
9	Portimonense	7	3	0	4	-2	9
10	Arouca	7	2	3	2	-6	9
11	Rio Ave	8	1	4	3	-5	7
12	Guimaraes	7	2	1	4	-6	7
13	Boavista	6	2	0	4	-6	6
14	Famalicao	8	1	2	5	-6	5
15	Maritimo	8	1	2	5	-15	5
16	Santa Clara	7	1	1	5	-4	4
17	Gil Vicente	6	1	1	4	-6	4
18	Pacos Ferreira	7	0	1	6	-11	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.