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Premiership
Referee: E Anderson
Aberdeen
T T T T U
2–0
Full-time
ST Johnstone
U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aberdeen ST Johnstone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,3
3,3
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,7
This season — Premiership · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 38%
40%
35%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
65%
65%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,6
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
16 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 2
3 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aberdeen 5. · ST Johnstone 7. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 20 18 1 1 +46 55
2 Rangers 20 14 4 2 +26 46
3 Hearts 19 9 4 6 +5 31
4 Livingston 20 8 4 8 -8 28
5 Aberdeen 20 8 2 10 +1 26
6 St Mirren 18 7 5 6 -4 26
7 ST Johnstone 20 7 3 10 -6 24
8 Hibernian 20 7 2 11 -9 23
9 Kilmarnock 20 5 5 10 -16 20
10 Motherwell 19 5 4 10 -5 19
11 Dundee United 19 5 4 10 -10 19
12 Ross County 21 4 4 13 -20 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

20. Aug -22 ST Johnstone – Aberdeen 0–1 11. May -22 ST Johnstone – Aberdeen 1–0 15. Feb -22 Aberdeen – ST Johnstone 1–1 11. Dec -21 ST Johnstone – Aberdeen 0–1 18. Sep -21 Aberdeen – ST Johnstone 0–1

Match report

Aberdeen ST Johnstone
21′
🟨 Graham Carey
Duk ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
24′
Half-time 0–0
V. Besuijen 🔁
↦ B. Miovski
61′
J. Hayes 🔁
↦ M. Kennedy
61′
62′
🟨 Cameron MacPherson
65′
🟨 Alex Mitchell
66′
🔁 D. Wotherspoon
↦ J. Murphy
1–0 Duk ⚽
V. Besuijen
74′
76′
🔁 N. Clark
↦ L. Gordon
81′
🔁 A. Crawford
↦ C. MacPherson
81′
🔁 T. Bair
↦ S. May
2–0 Duk ⚽
J. Hayes
84′
C. Ramírez 🔁
↦ L. Clarkson
87′
R. Duncan 🔁
↦ Duk
88′
C. Barron 🔁
↦ G. Shinnie
91′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Aberdeen

4-2-3-1
24 K. Roos G
2 R. McCrorie D
5 A. Stewart D
4 L. Scales D
22 H. Coulson D
16 Y. Ramadani M
6 G. Shinnie M
33 M. Kennedy M
20 L. Clarkson M
11 Duk M
9 B. Miovski F
Bench (9)
10 V. Besuijen
17 J. Hayes
99 C. Ramírez
23 R. Duncan
8 C. Barron
1 J. Lewis
15 M. Watkins
25 J. Richardson
7 S. Morris

Coach: J. Goodwin

ST Johnstone

5-4-1
1 R. Matthews G
14 D. Wright D
5 A. Mitchell D
6 L. Gordon D
4 A. Considine D
3 T. Gallacher D
23 G. Carey M
13 R. McGowan M
18 C. MacPherson M
29 J. Murphy M
7 S. May F
Bench (9)
10 D. Wotherspoon
37 N. Clark
21 A. Crawford
17 T. Bair
11 M. O'Halloran
12 E. Parish
27 M. Kucheryavyi
34 D. Phillips
2 J. Brown

Coach: C. Davidson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,72
🔒
U
3,70
🔒
B
4,82
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
2,00
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,80
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

E Anderson · 63 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.