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Coupe de France

Referee: P Gaillouste

Bordeaux

T U S T S

1–2

Full-time

Rennes

U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bordeaux Rennes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,5

2,8

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

45% Possession 55%

13 Shots 13

2 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 7

2 Offside 3

8 Free kicks against 14

0 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Annecy	3	3	0	0	+13	9
2	Paris FC	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Grenoble	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	Pau FC	3	3	0	0	+5	9
5	Le Puy Foot	3	3	0	0	+4	9
6	Stade Plabennec	3	3	0	0	+4	9
7	Grasse	3	3	0	0	+4	9
8	Niort	3	2	1	0	+4	7
9	Strasbourg Koenigshoffen	3	2	1	0	+2	7
10	Évreux 27	4	2	1	1	-2	7
11	Vierzon FC	2	2	0	0	+8	6
12	Dunkerque	2	2	0	0	+7	6
13	Nimes	3	2	0	1	+6	6
14	Granville	3	2	0	1	+5	6
15	Bordeaux	2	2	0	0	+4	6
16	Belfort	2	2	0	0	+4	6
17	La Châtaigneraie	2	2	0	0	+4	6
18	Chateauroux	3	2	0	1	+2	6
19	Olympique St Quentin	2	2	0	0	+2	6
20	Avoine OCC	2	2	0	0	+2	6
21	Metz	3	2	0	1	+1	6
22	Avranches	3	2	0	1	+1	6
23	Amiens	3	1	2	0	+10	5
24	Thaon	3	1	2	0	+3	5
25	Bastia	3	1	2	0	+3	5
26	Rodez	3	1	2	0	+1	5
27	Les Herbiers	2	1	1	0	+5	4
28	Sochaux	2	1	1	0	+3	4
29	Aubagne	2	1	1	0	+3	4
30	Chamalières	2	1	1	0	+3	4
31	Caen	2	1	1	0	+3	4
32	Loon-Plage	2	1	1	0	+3	4
33	Reims Sainte-Anne	2	1	1	0	+3	4
34	Jura Sud Foot	2	1	1	0	+2	4
35	Guingamp	2	1	1	0	+2	4
36	Saint-Estève Perpignan	2	1	1	0	+2	4
37	Limonest	2	1	1	0	+2	4
38	Bellevue Nantes	2	1	1	0	+2	4
39	Valenciennes	3	1	1	1	+1	4
40	Reipertswiller	2	1	1	0	+1	4
41	Chambéry	2	1	1	0	+1	4
42	Pays de Cassel	2	1	1	0	+1	4
43	Drancy	2	1	1	0	+1	4
44	Bergerac	2	1	1	0	+1	4
45	Stade Pontivy	2	1	1	0	+1	4
46	La Tamponnaise	3	1	1	1	+0	4
47	Linas-Montlhery	3	1	1	1	-1	4
48	Villerupt Thil	3	1	1	1	-3	4
49	Gobelins	2	1	0	1	+4	3
50	Villefranche	2	1	0	1	+3	3
51	Epinal	2	1	0	1	+3	3
52	Louhans-Cuiseaux	2	1	0	1	+2	3
53	Rumilly Vallières	2	1	0	1	+2	3
54	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+2	3
55	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+2	3
56	Brest	1	1	0	0	+2	3
57	Lens	1	1	0	0	+2	3
58	Nantes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
59	Thiers	2	1	0	1	+1	3
60	Châtellerault	2	1	0	1	+1	3
61	Olympique Marcquois	2	1	0	1	+1	3
62	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
63	Lyon Duchere	2	1	0	1	+0	3
64	Colomiers	2	1	0	1	+0	3
65	Union Cosnoise	2	1	0	1	+0	3
66	Haguenau	2	1	0	1	+0	3
67	Onet-le-Château	2	1	0	1	+0	3
68	Roche Saint-Genest	2	1	0	1	+0	3
69	Vire	3	1	0	2	-1	3
70	Boé Bon Encontre	2	1	0	1	-1	3
71	Marnaval	2	1	0	1	-1	3
72	Wasquehal	2	1	0	1	-1	3
73	Mâcon	2	1	0	1	-2	3
74	Feignies-Aulnoye	2	1	0	1	-2	3
75	Stade Béthunois	2	1	0	1	-3	3
76	Marcoussis Nozay	2	1	0	1	-5	3
77	Aiglon	2	1	0	1	-9	3
78	Alençon	2	0	2	0	+0	2
79	Oissel	2	0	2	0	+0	2
80	St-Pryvé St-Hilaire	2	0	2	0	+0	2
81	Lannion	2	0	2	0	+0	2
82	Bourges Foot 18	2	0	2	0	+0	2
83	Plouvorn	2	0	2	0	+0	2
84	Hyères	3	0	2	1	-2	2
85	Vannes	3	0	2	1	-2	2
86	Le Havre	1	0	1	0	+0	1
87	Saint-Malo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
88	Olympique d'Alès	1	0	1	0	+0	1
89	Le Mans	1	0	1	0	+0	1
90	Alberes Argelès	1	0	1	0	+0	1
91	Monaco	1	0	1	0	+0	1
92	Angoulême	1	0	1	0	+0	1
93	Poissy	1	0	1	0	+0	1
94	Laval	1	0	1	0	+0	1
95	Dijon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
96	Toulon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
97	Quevilly Rouen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
98	Concarneau	1	0	1	0	+0	1
99	Bourgoin-Jallieu	1	0	1	0	+0	1
100	Red Star	1	0	1	0	+0	1
101	Gueugnon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
102	Châteaubriant	1	0	1	0	+0	1
103	Fleury 91	1	0	1	0	+0	1
104	AC Paris 15	1	0	1	0	+0	1
105	Chambly Thelle FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
106	Le Geldar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
107	Etoile de Morne-à-l'Eau	1	0	1	0	+0	1
108	Sporting Baie-Mahault	1	0	1	0	+0	1
109	St Etienne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
110	Prix-lès-Mézières	1	0	1	0	+0	1
111	Vitré	1	0	1	0	+0	1
112	Saint-Apollinaire	1	0	1	0	+0	1
113	Merpins	1	0	1	0	+0	1
114	Sablé	1	0	1	0	+0	1
115	Saint-Pierroise	1	0	1	0	+0	1
116	Strasbourg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
117	Angers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
118	Clermont	1	0	1	0	+0	1
119	Trélissac	2	0	1	1	-1	1
120	Drapeau Fougères	2	0	1	1	-1	1
121	Orvault SF	2	0	1	1	-1	1
122	Aubervilliers	2	0	1	1	-1	1
123	Ergué-Gaberic	2	0	1	1	-1	1
124	Lège-Cap-Ferret	2	0	1	1	-3	1
125	Grand Santi	2	0	1	1	-3	1
126	Montauban TG	2	0	1	1	-4	1
127	Velay	1	0	0	1	-1	0
128	Nancy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
129	Agde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
130	Le Pays du Valois	1	0	0	1	-1	0
131	Hienghène Sport	1	0	0	1	-1	0
132	Golden Lion	1	0	0	1	-1	0
133	Feurs	1	0	0	1	-1	0
134	Savigneux Montbrison	1	0	0	1	-1	0
135	Biars-Bretenoux	1	0	0	1	-1	0
136	Chaumont	1	0	0	1	-1	0
137	Escaudain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
138	Raon l'Etape	1	0	0	1	-1	0
139	Montpellier	1	0	0	1	-1	0
140	Poitiers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
141	Gallia Lucciana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
142	Mérignac-Arlac	1	0	0	1	-1	0
143	Jura Dolois	1	0	0	1	-1	0
144	Saint-Priest	1	0	0	1	-1	0
145	Grand-Quevilly	1	0	0	1	-1	0
146	Saint-Grégoire	1	0	0	1	-1	0
147	Éperlecques	1	0	0	1	-1	0
148	Cholet	1	0	0	1	-1	0
149	Chauray	1	0	0	1	-1	0
150	Gandrange	1	0	0	1	-1	0
151	Nice	1	0	0	1	-1	0
152	NDC Angers	1	0	0	1	-2	0
153	SA Mérignac	1	0	0	1	-2	0
154	Les Ulis	1	0	0	1	-2	0
155	Vaulx	1	0	0	1	-2	0
156	Villers-lès-Nancy	1	0	0	1	-2	0
157	Saint-Doulchard	1	0	0	1	-2	0
158	Narbonne	1	0	0	1	-2	0
159	Cambrai	1	0	0	1	-2	0
160	Andrézieux	1	0	0	1	-2	0
161	Chartres-de-Bretagne	1	0	0	1	-2	0
162	Fréjus St-Raphaël	1	0	0	1	-2	0
163	Cournon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
164	Lescar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
165	Basse Goulaine	1	0	0	1	-2	0
166	Pont Saintte-Maxence	1	0	0	1	-2	0
167	Auray	1	0	0	1	-2	0
168	JA Armentières	1	0	0	1	-2	0
169	Vénissieux	1	0	0	1	-2	0
170	Bondues	1	0	0	1	-2	0
171	Geispolsheim	1	0	0	1	-3	0
172	Illzach Modenheim	1	0	0	1	-3	0
173	Téteghem	1	0	0	1	-3	0
174	Hombourg-Haut	1	0	0	1	-3	0
175	Salinieres Aigues Mortes	1	0	0	1	-3	0
176	Beauvais	1	0	0	1	-3	0
177	Sarre Union	1	0	0	1	-3	0
178	Bastia-Borgo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
179	Vénus	1	0	0	1	-3	0
180	Stade Bordelais	1	0	0	1	-3	0
181	Saint-Louis Neuweg	1	0	0	1	-3	0
182	Séné	1	0	0	1	-3	0
183	Heillecourt	1	0	0	1	-4	0
184	Havre Caucriauville	1	0	0	1	-4	0
185	Mareuil	1	0	0	1	-5	0
186	Liancourt Clermont	1	0	0	1	-5	0
187	Tarentaise	1	0	0	1	-5	0
188	Diables Noirs	1	0	0	1	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Strasbourg Koenigshoffen	3	2	1	0	+2	7
2	Le Puy Foot	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Stade Plabennec	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Grenoble	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Chamalières	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Jura Sud Foot	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Saint-Estève Perpignan	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Bellevue Nantes	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Chambéry	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Pays de Cassel	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Évreux 27	2	1	1	0	+1	4
12	Villerupt Thil	3	1	1	1	-3	4
13	Amiens	1	1	0	0	+10	3
14	Annecy	1	1	0	0	+7	3
15	Granville	2	1	0	1	+3	3
16	Sochaux	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Nimes	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Rumilly Vallières	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Reims Sainte-Anne	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Paris FC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Thiers	2	1	0	1	+1	3
23	Châtellerault	2	1	0	1	+1	3
24	Reipertswiller	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Olympique Marcquois	2	1	0	1	+1	3
26	Olympique St Quentin	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Pau FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	La Tamponnaise	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Grasse	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Haguenau	2	1	0	1	+0	3
32	Onet-le-Château	2	1	0	1	+0	3
33	Roche Saint-Genest	2	1	0	1	+0	3
34	Linas-Montlhery	2	1	0	1	-1	3
35	Feignies-Aulnoye	2	1	0	1	-2	3
36	Marcoussis Nozay	2	1	0	1	-5	3
37	Alençon	2	0	2	0	+0	2
38	Oissel	2	0	2	0	+0	2
39	Thaon	2	0	2	0	+0	2
40	Bourges Foot 18	2	0	2	0	+0	2
41	Plouvorn	2	0	2	0	+0	2
42	Saint-Malo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Hyères	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Les Herbiers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Monaco	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Angoulême	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	St-Pryvé St-Hilaire	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Toulon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Aubervilliers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Vannes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Valenciennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Châteaubriant	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Fleury 91	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	AC Paris 15	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	Chambly Thelle FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
56	Le Geldar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	Etoile de Morne-à-l'Eau	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	St Etienne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	Prix-lès-Mézières	1	0	1	0	+0	1
60	Vitré	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Merpins	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Saint-Pierroise	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Bergerac	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Strasbourg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
65	Drapeau Fougères	2	0	1	1	-1	1
66	Orvault SF	2	0	1	1	-1	1
67	Montauban TG	2	0	1	1	-4	1
68	Velay	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Agde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Lyon Duchere	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Trélissac	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Golden Lion	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Biars-Bretenoux	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Raon l'Etape	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Ergué-Gaberic	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Poitiers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Gallia Lucciana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Mérignac-Arlac	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Saint-Priest	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Saint-Grégoire	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Éperlecques	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Chauray	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Epinal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Colomiers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	NDC Angers	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	Les Ulis	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	Saint-Doulchard	1	0	0	1	-2	0
88	Chateauroux	1	0	0	1	-2	0
89	Chartres-de-Bretagne	1	0	0	1	-2	0
90	Cournon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
91	Lescar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
92	Pont Saintte-Maxence	1	0	0	1	-2	0
93	Auray	1	0	0	1	-2	0
94	JA Armentières	1	0	0	1	-2	0
95	Vénissieux	1	0	0	1	-2	0
96	Bondues	1	0	0	1	-2	0
97	Union Cosnoise	1	0	0	1	-2	0
98	Avranches	1	0	0	1	-2	0
99	Geispolsheim	1	0	0	1	-3	0
100	Illzach Modenheim	1	0	0	1	-3	0
101	Téteghem	1	0	0	1	-3	0
102	Boé Bon Encontre	1	0	0	1	-3	0
103	Lège-Cap-Ferret	1	0	0	1	-3	0
104	Salinieres Aigues Mortes	1	0	0	1	-3	0
105	Beauvais	1	0	0	1	-3	0
106	Sarre Union	1	0	0	1	-3	0
107	Vénus	1	0	0	1	-3	0
108	Stade Bordelais	1	0	0	1	-3	0
109	Séné	1	0	0	1	-3	0
110	Marnaval	1	0	0	1	-3	0
111	Grand Santi	1	0	0	1	-3	0
112	Heillecourt	1	0	0	1	-4	0
113	Havre Caucriauville	1	0	0	1	-4	0
114	Stade Béthunois	1	0	0	1	-4	0
115	Mareuil	1	0	0	1	-5	0
116	Liancourt Clermont	1	0	0	1	-5	0
117	Tarentaise	1	0	0	1	-5	0
118	Vire	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Niort	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Vierzon FC	2	2	0	0	+8	6
3	Dunkerque	2	2	0	0	+7	6
4	Annecy	2	2	0	0	+6	6
5	Bordeaux	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Chateauroux	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	Paris FC	2	2	0	0	+4	6
8	Belfort	2	2	0	0	+4	6
9	Pau FC	2	2	0	0	+4	6
10	La Châtaigneraie	2	2	0	0	+4	6
11	Avranches	2	2	0	0	+3	6
12	Grasse	2	2	0	0	+3	6
13	Avoine OCC	2	2	0	0	+2	6
14	Metz	3	2	0	1	+1	6
15	Bastia	3	1	2	0	+3	5
16	Rodez	3	1	2	0	+1	5
17	Aubagne	2	1	1	0	+3	4
18	Caen	2	1	1	0	+3	4
19	Loon-Plage	2	1	1	0	+3	4
20	Guingamp	2	1	1	0	+2	4
21	Limonest	2	1	1	0	+2	4
22	Drancy	2	1	1	0	+1	4
23	Stade Pontivy	2	1	1	0	+1	4
24	Les Herbiers	1	1	0	0	+5	3
25	Gobelins	2	1	0	1	+4	3
26	Epinal	1	1	0	0	+4	3
27	Vire	1	1	0	0	+4	3
28	Villefranche	2	1	0	1	+3	3
29	Grenoble	1	1	0	0	+3	3
30	Nimes	2	1	0	1	+3	3
31	Thaon	1	1	0	0	+3	3
32	Louhans-Cuiseaux	2	1	0	1	+2	3
33	Granville	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	Union Cosnoise	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+2	3
36	Boé Bon Encontre	1	1	0	0	+2	3
37	Marnaval	1	1	0	0	+2	3
38	Brest	1	1	0	0	+2	3
39	Lens	1	1	0	0	+2	3
40	Nantes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
41	Valenciennes	2	1	0	1	+1	3
42	Colomiers	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Le Puy Foot	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Bergerac	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Stade Plabennec	1	1	0	0	+1	3
46	Lyon Duchere	1	1	0	0	+1	3
47	Stade Béthunois	1	1	0	0	+1	3
48	Olympique St Quentin	1	1	0	0	+1	3
49	Wasquehal	2	1	0	1	-1	3
50	Mâcon	2	1	0	1	-2	3
51	Évreux 27	2	1	0	1	-3	3
52	Aiglon	2	1	0	1	-9	3
53	Lannion	2	0	2	0	+0	2
54	Amiens	2	0	2	0	+0	2
55	Le Havre	1	0	1	0	+0	1
56	Olympique d'Alès	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	Le Mans	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	Alberes Argelès	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	Sochaux	1	0	1	0	+0	1
60	Trélissac	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Poissy	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Laval	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Dijon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Quevilly Rouen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
65	Concarneau	1	0	1	0	+0	1
66	Bourgoin-Jallieu	1	0	1	0	+0	1
67	Red Star	1	0	1	0	+0	1
68	Gueugnon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
69	Reims Sainte-Anne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
70	Linas-Montlhery	1	0	1	0	+0	1
71	Grand Santi	1	0	1	0	+0	1
72	Sporting Baie-Mahault	1	0	1	0	+0	1
73	St-Pryvé St-Hilaire	1	0	1	0	+0	1
74	Reipertswiller	1	0	1	0	+0	1
75	Ergué-Gaberic	1	0	1	0	+0	1
76	Saint-Apollinaire	1	0	1	0	+0	1
77	Lège-Cap-Ferret	1	0	1	0	+0	1
78	Sablé	1	0	1	0	+0	1
79	Angers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
80	Clermont	1	0	1	0	+0	1
81	La Tamponnaise	2	0	1	1	-1	1
82	Hyères	2	0	1	1	-2	1
83	Vannes	2	0	1	1	-2	1
84	Nancy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	Le Pays du Valois	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	Hienghène Sport	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	Feurs	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Savigneux Montbrison	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	Chaumont	1	0	0	1	-1	0
90	Escaudain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
91	Rumilly Vallières	1	0	0	1	-1	0
92	Montpellier	1	0	0	1	-1	0
93	Jura Dolois	1	0	0	1	-1	0
94	Grand-Quevilly	1	0	0	1	-1	0
95	Cholet	1	0	0	1	-1	0
96	Gandrange	1	0	0	1	-1	0
97	Aubervilliers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
98	Nice	1	0	0	1	-1	0
99	SA Mérignac	1	0	0	1	-2	0
100	Vaulx	1	0	0	1	-2	0
101	Villers-lès-Nancy	1	0	0	1	-2	0
102	Narbonne	1	0	0	1	-2	0
103	Cambrai	1	0	0	1	-2	0
104	Andrézieux	1	0	0	1	-2	0
105	Fréjus St-Raphaël	1	0	0	1	-2	0
106	Basse Goulaine	1	0	0	1	-2	0
107	Hombourg-Haut	1	0	0	1	-3	0
108	Bastia-Borgo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
109	Saint-Louis Neuweg	1	0	0	1	-3	0
110	Diables Noirs	1	0	0	1	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.