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Premiership
Referee: N Walsh
Hearts
T S T S S
2–0
Full-time
ST Johnstone
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts ST Johnstone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,7
2,2
Scored
1,0
0,3
Conceded
0,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,5
This season — Premiership · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 33%
50%
15%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
35%
30%
Both score Ø 43%
50%
35%
Average goals
2,4
1,8
Scored
1,5
0,6
Conceded
0,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%
16 Shots 14
8 Shots on target 6
6 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 2
0 Offside 4
9 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hearts 3. · ST Johnstone 12. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 20 16 3 1 +29 51
2 Celtic 21 15 3 3 +32 48
3 Hearts 20 10 6 4 +11 36
4 Motherwell 20 9 4 7 -2 31
5 Hibernian 21 8 5 8 +0 29
6 Aberdeen 20 8 3 9 +1 27
7 Dundee United 20 7 4 9 -7 25
8 Livingston 21 6 5 10 -8 23
9 St Mirren 20 3 10 7 -13 19
10 Ross County 20 4 6 10 -8 18
11 Dundee 21 4 4 13 -21 16
12 ST Johnstone 20 3 5 12 -14 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

27. Oct -21 ST Johnstone – Hearts 1–1 1. Feb -20 ST Johnstone – Hearts 3–3 14. Dec -19 Hearts – ST Johnstone 0–1 30. Oct -19 ST Johnstone – Hearts 1–0

Match report

Hearts ST Johnstone
Half-time 1–0
1–0 J. Ginnelly ⚽
B. McKay
46′
60′
🟨 Dan Cleary
64′
🔁 C. Kane
↦ S. May
64′
🔁 C. Gilmour
↦ J. Butterfield
70′
🟨 Murray Davidson
A. McEneff 🔁
↦ G. Mackay-Steven
70′
T. Moore 🔁
↦ C. Halkett
71′
John Souttar 🟨
73′
2–0 J. Ginnelly ⚽
B. McKay
75′
80′
🔁 G. Middleton
↦ N. Çiftçi
80′
🔁 A. Crawford
↦ M. Davidson
A. Halliday 🔁
↦ B. McKay
83′
Michael Smith 🟨
89′
93′
🟨 Liam Gordon
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Hearts

3-4-3
1 C. Gordon G
2 M. Smith M
3 S. Kingsley D
4 J. Souttar D
19 C. Halkett D
17 A. Cochrane M
11 G. Mackay-Steven F
5 P. Haring M
18 B. McKay F
30 J. Ginnelly F
14 C. Devlin M
Bench (8)
8 A. McEneff
15 T. Moore
16 A. Halliday
13 R. Stewart
22 E. Henderson
10 L. Boyce
12 N. Atkinson
38 F. Pollock

Coach: R. Neilson

ST Johnstone

3-5-2
1 Z. Clark G
24 C. Booth M
5 D. Cleary D
6 L. Gordon D
4 J. Mccart D
8 M. Davidson M
34 J. Butterfield M
18 C. MacPherson M
7 S. May F
23 N. Çiftçi F
11 M. O'Halloran M
Bench (9)
9 C. Kane
15 C. Gilmour
14 G. Middleton
21 A. Crawford
12 E. Parish
2 J. Brown
3 T. Gallacher
25 E. Ambrose
26 L. Craig

Coach: C. Davidson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,56
🔒
U
3,92
🔒
B
6,03
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
2,11
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,71
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

N Walsh · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.