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Premiership
Referee: D Dickinson
St Mirren
T S S U S
2–1
Full-time
ST Johnstone
T T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren ST Johnstone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,5
2,0
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,7
This season — Premiership · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 21%
25%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
42%
29%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
1,7
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

53% Possession 47%
12 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
6 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Mirren 9. · ST Johnstone 11. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 25 19 3 3 +41 60
2 Rangers 25 18 5 2 +32 59
3 Hearts 25 12 7 6 +9 43
4 Motherwell 25 9 6 10 -10 33
5 Hibernian 25 8 7 10 -2 31
6 Livingston 26 8 6 12 -8 30
7 Dundee United 25 8 6 11 -8 30
8 Aberdeen 24 8 5 11 -1 29
9 St Mirren 24 6 11 7 -10 29
10 Ross County 26 6 9 11 -6 27
11 ST Johnstone 24 4 7 13 -15 19
12 Dundee 24 4 6 14 -22 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Nov -21 ST Johnstone – St Mirren 0–0 29. Aug -21 St Mirren – ST Johnstone 0–0 16. Jan -21 ST Johnstone – St Mirren 1–0 19. Dec -20 St Mirren – ST Johnstone 3–2 29. Aug -20 ST Johnstone – St Mirren 1–0

Match report

St Mirren ST Johnstone
Marcus Fraser 🟨
27′
28′
⚽ C. Hendry 0–1
33′
🟨 Murray Davidson
1–1 C. Ronan ⚽
42′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 A. Greive ⚽
G. Kiltie
49′
59′
🔁 J. Butterfield
↦ J. Mccart
59′
🔁 J. Brown
↦ T. Sang
59′
🔁 T. Bair
↦ M. Davidson
63′
🟨 Liam Gordon
65′
🔁 C. Gilmour
↦ C. MacPherson
Alex Greive 🟨
67′
R. Flynn 🔁
↦ R. Tait
73′
82′
🟨 Callum Hendry
86′
🔁 S. May
↦ T. Gallacher
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

St Mirren

4-2-3-1
1 J. Alnwick G
2 R. Tait D
4 J. Shaughnessy D
22 M. Fraser D
18 C. Dunne D
6 A. Power M
13 A. Gogić M
7 Jordan Jones M
11 G. Kiltie M
43 C. Ronan M
21 A. Greive F
Bench (8)
8 R. Flynn
27 P. Urminský
5 C. McCarthy
12 J. Henderson
26 D. Lyness
23 L. Erwin
44 M. Millar
16 E. Erhahon

Coach: J. Goodwin

ST Johnstone

3-4-1-2
1 Z. Clark G
5 D. Cleary D
6 L. Gordon D
4 J. Mccart D
3 T. Gallacher M
27 T. Sang M
8 M. Davidson M
21 A. Crawford F
18 C. MacPherson M
14 G. Middleton F
22 C. Hendry F
Bench (9)
34 J. Butterfield
2 J. Brown
17 T. Bair
15 C. Gilmour
7 S. May
26 L. Craig
12 E. Parish
33 J. Hector-Ingram
28 J. Northcott

Coach: C. Davidson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,31
🔒
U
3,03
🔒
B
3,35
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,67
🔒
U2,5
1,46
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Dickinson · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.