Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Zaragoza
Tenerife
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Mallorca
|
27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | +24 | 57 |
| 2 |
Espanol
|
28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | +22 | 54 |
| 3 |
Almeria
|
27 | 16 | 4 | 7 | +17 | 52 |
| 4 |
Leganes
|
27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | +10 | 49 |
| 5 |
Sp Gijon
|
27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | +10 | 47 |
| 6 |
Vallecano
|
27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | +5 | 42 |
| 7 |
Ponferradina
|
27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | +0 | 41 |
| 8 |
Mirandes
|
27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +5 | 40 |
| 9 |
Girona
|
27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | -2 | 38 |
| 10 |
Oviedo
|
28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | +3 | 36 |
| 11 |
Tenerife
|
27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | +0 | 36 |
| 12 |
Fuenlabrada
|
27 | 7 | 14 | 6 | +0 | 35 |
| 13 |
Las Palmas
|
27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | -9 | 35 |
| 14 |
Malaga
|
27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | -9 | 34 |
| 15 |
Lugo
|
27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | -4 | 33 |
| 16 | Logrones | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | -14 | 30 |
| 17 |
Cartagena
|
27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | -9 | 28 |
| 18 |
Sabadell
|
27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | -7 | 27 |
| 19 |
Alcorcon
|
27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | -10 | 27 |
| 20 |
Zaragoza
|
27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | -8 | 25 |
| 21 |
Castellon
|
27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | -9 | 25 |
| 22 |
Albacete
|
27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | -15 | 25 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Oviedo
Zaragoza
Zaragoza
Alcorcon
Sabadell
Zaragoza
Malaga
Zaragoza
Zaragoza
Ponferradina
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.