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Championship
Referee: J Brooks
Coventry
T S T U T
1–0
Full-time
Derby
S T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Coventry Derby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,2
This season — Championship · 34/33 matches
Win Ø 27%
24%
30%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
41%
27%
Both score Ø 40%
50%
30%
Average goals
2,3
1,9
Scored
0,9
0,8
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%
10 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 7
3 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Coventry 20. · Derby 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norwich 34 22 7 5 +23 73
2 Watford 35 19 9 7 +22 66
3 Brentford 32 17 8 7 +24 59
4 Reading 34 17 6 11 +9 57
5 Bournemouth 33 15 10 8 +17 55
6 Swansea 29 16 7 6 +14 55
7 Cardiff 35 15 9 11 +18 54
8 Barnsley 31 16 6 9 +8 54
9 Middlesbrough 34 14 8 12 +4 50
10 Millwall 34 10 16 8 +3 46
11 Stoke 34 11 12 11 +0 45
12 Bristol City 34 14 3 17 -10 45
13 Luton 33 12 8 13 -9 44
14 Preston 34 13 4 17 -6 43
15 Blackburn 33 11 7 15 +7 40
16 Nott'm Forest 35 10 10 15 -6 40
17 QPR 32 10 10 12 -7 40
18 Huddersfield 35 10 8 17 -12 38
19 Derby 33 10 8 15 -12 38
20 Coventry 34 8 11 15 -15 35
21 Birmingham 34 8 11 15 -16 35
22 Sheffield Weds 33 9 7 17 -16 34
23 Rotherham 32 9 5 18 -8 32
24 Wycombe 33 5 8 20 -32 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Dec -20 Derby – Coventry 1–1

Match report

Coventry Derby
9′
🟨 Matthew Clarke
1–0 M. Biamou
C. O'Hare
11′
Gustavo Hamer 🟨
30′
37′
🟨 Lee Buchanan
Half-time 1–0
49′
🟨 Jason Knight
57′
🟨 Colin Kazim-Richards
69′
🔁 L. Watson
↦ G. Shinnie
69′
🔁 K. Jóźwiak
↦ P. Roberts
69′
🔁 L. Gregory
↦ M. Waghorn
J. Pask 🔁
↦ F. Dabo
74′
J. Allen 🔁
↦ G. Hamer
74′
Sam McCallum 🟨
88′
B. Sheaf 🔁
↦ C. OHare
91′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Coventry

3-5-1-1
13 B. Wilson G
5 K. McFadzean D
23 F. Dabo M
15 D. Hyam D
2 L. Østigård D
21 S. McCallum M
25 M. James M
6 L. Kelly M
11 C. O'Hare F
38 G. Hamer M
9 M. Biamou F
Bench (9)
16 J. Pask
8 J. Allen
14 B. Sheaf
12 V. Gyökeres
19 T. Walker
4 M. Rose
26 J. Shipley
24 M. Godden
1 M. Maroši

Coach: M. Robins

Derby

4-4-2
21 K. Roos G
4 G. Shinnie M
2 A. Wisdom D
26 L. Buchanan D
12 N. Byrne D
23 P. Roberts M
16 M. Clarke D
8 M. Bird M
38 J. Knight M
13 C. Kazim-Richards F
9 M. Waghorn F
Bench (9)
40 L. Watson
7 K. Jóźwiak
19 L. Gregory
15 T. Mengi
6 G. Edmundson
17 L. Sibley
3 C. Forsyth
37 K. MacDonald
30 E. Idem

Coach: W. Rooney

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,58
U
3,03
B
2,95
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,45
U2,5 ✓
1,54
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Brooks · 175 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.