Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Rakow
Cracovia
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Legia
|
19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | +13 | 39 |
| 2 |
Pogon Szczecin
|
19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | +12 | 35 |
| 3 |
Rakow
|
19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | +10 | 34 |
| 4 |
Lechia Gdansk
|
20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | +3 | 30 |
| 5 |
Zaglebie
|
20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | +4 | 29 |
| 6 |
Slask Wroclaw
|
19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | +4 | 28 |
| 7 |
Gornik Zabrze
|
20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | +1 | 28 |
| 8 |
Wisla
|
20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | +4 | 25 |
| 9 |
Lech Poznan
|
19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | +2 | 25 |
| 10 |
Jagiellonia
|
20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | -6 | 25 |
| 11 |
Piast Gliwice
|
19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | +2 | 24 |
| 12 |
Cracovia
|
19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | -3 | 23 |
| 13 |
Warta Poznan
|
19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | -4 | 23 |
| 14 |
Wisla Plock
|
19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | -5 | 23 |
| 15 |
Podbeskidzie
|
20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -24 | 18 |
| 16 |
Stal Mielec
|
19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -13 | 16 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Rakow
Podbeskidzie
Zaglebie
Rakow
Rakow
Lechia Gdansk
Legia
Rakow
Rakow
Pogon Szczecin
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.