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Super League
Referee: Luís Godinho
Panathinaikos
S T T T T
2–2
Full-time
Olympiakos
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos Olympiakos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
1,5
2,2
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 39/39 matches
Win Ø 65%
62%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
64%
67%
Both score Ø 46%
41%
51%
Average goals
3,1
3,2
Scored
2,2
2,2
Conceded
1,0
0,9
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%
13 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 2
1 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Panathinaikos 4. · Olympiakos 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 AEK 39 25 10 4 +46 85
2 Olympiakos 39 26 5 8 +49 83
3 PAOK 39 25 6 8 +51 81
4 Panathinaikos 39 24 5 10 +46 77
5 Aris Thessalonikis 35 16 7 12 +8 55
6 Aris 36 16 7 13 +7 55
7 Asteras Tripolis 35 12 5 18 -15 41
8 Panserraikos 35 9 12 14 -17 39
9 Lamia 39 10 9 20 -36 39
10 OFI Crete 35 8 14 13 -14 38
11 Atromitos 35 8 13 14 -17 37
12 Panetolikos 35 9 9 17 -20 36
13 Volos NFC 35 8 10 17 -23 34
14 Kifisia 35 5 12 18 -34 27
15 Giannina 35 4 12 19 -31 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Panathinaikos Olympiakos
Daniel Mancini 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Iborra
↦ João Carvalho
1–0 A. Bakasetas
50′
2–0 Bernard
Juankar
59′
62′
🔁 Gelson Martins
↦ K. Fortounis
62′
🔁 S. Jovetić
↦ André Horta
65′
🟨 Daniel Podence
S. Palacios 🔁
↦ D. Mancini
65′
T. Vilhena 🔁
↦ A. Čerin
65′
73′
Daniel Podence 2–1
S. Jovetić
76′
🔁 Quini
↦ O. Richards
Zeca 🔁
↦ Juankar
77′
A. Šporar 🔁
↦ A. Jeremejeff
77′
B. Verbič 🔁
↦ Bernard
77′
81′
S. Jovetić 2–2
Daniel Podence
89′
🟨 Daniel Podence
89′
🟥 Daniel Podence
Andraž Šporar 🟨
93′
93′
🟨 Gelson Martins
Tin Jedvaj 🟨
95′
97′
🟨 Konstantinos Tzolakis
99′
🔁 G. Masouras
↦ A. El Kaabi
100′
🟨 Quini
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Panathinaikos

4-3-3
12 Y. Lodygin G
27 G. Kotsiras D
21 T. Jedvaj D
55 Willian Arão D
3 Juankar D
17 D. Mancini M
4 Rubén Pérez M
8 A. Bakasetas M
16 A. Čerin F
29 A. Jeremejeff F
10 Bernard F
Bench (9)
34 S. Palacios
52 T. Vilhena
6 Zeca
9 A. Šporar
77 B. Verbič
69 B. Drągowski
31 F. Đuričić
20 Vitor Hugo
2 G. Vagiannidis

Coach: C. Kontis

Olympiakos

4-2-3-1
88 K. Tzolakis G
23 Rodinei D
45 P. Retsos D
16 David Carmo D
27 O. Richards D
32 S. Hezze M
5 André Horta M
7 K. Fortounis M
20 João Carvalho M
56 Daniel Podence M
9 A. El Kaabi F
Bench (9)
8 Iborra
10 Gelson Martins
22 S. Jovetić
18 Quini
19 G. Masouras
11 Y. El-Arabi
74 A. Ntoi
36 N. Abbey
1 A. Paschalakis

Coach: José Luis Mendilibar

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,63
U ✓
3,40
B
2,50
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,85
U2,5
1,91
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Luís Godinho · 162 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.