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Super League

Referee: T Stieler

Olympiakos

U S S S T

2–0

Full-time

AEK

S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympiakos AEK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,8

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,2

3,0

Scored

2,0

2,2

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 38/38 matches

Win Ø 66%

66%

Points per game

2,1

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 68%

68%

Both score Ø 54%

53%

55%

Average goals

3,2

Scored

2,2

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%

19 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 2

4 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Olympiakos 2. · AEK 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	38	25	10	3	+48	85
2	Olympiakos	38	25	5	8	+47	80
3	Panathinaikos	38	24	5	9	+49	77
4	PAOK	37	23	6	8	+47	75
5	Aris Thessalonikis	35	16	7	12	+8	55
6	Aris	35	16	7	12	+8	55
7	Asteras Tripolis	35	12	5	18	-15	41
8	Panserraikos	35	9	12	14	-17	39
9	Lamia	39	10	9	20	-36	39
10	OFI Crete	35	8	14	13	-14	38
11	Atromitos	35	8	13	14	-17	37
12	Panetolikos	35	9	9	17	-20	36
13	Volos NFC	35	8	10	17	-23	34
14	Kifisia	35	5	12	18	-34	27
15	Giannina	35	4	12	19	-31	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	19	15	4	0	+32	49
2	Olympiakos	19	15	0	4	+34	45
3	PAOK	19	13	3	3	+27	42
4	Panathinaikos	19	12	3	4	+27	39
5	Aris Thessalonikis	17	9	4	4	+9	31
6	Aris	17	9	4	4	+9	31
7	OFI Crete	18	8	6	4	+9	30
8	Panserraikos	18	7	8	3	+4	29
9	Lamia	20	7	3	10	-16	24
10	Atromitos	18	5	7	6	-5	22
11	Asteras Tripolis	18	6	4	8	-8	22
12	Panetolikos	17	6	3	8	-8	21
13	Volos NFC	17	5	4	8	-7	19
14	Giannina	17	2	8	7	-9	14
15	Kifisia	17	2	7	8	-11	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Panathinaikos	19	12	2	5	+22	38
2	AEK	19	10	6	3	+16	36
3	Olympiakos	19	10	5	4	+13	35
4	PAOK	18	10	3	5	+20	33
5	Aris Thessalonikis	18	7	3	8	-1	24
6	Aris	18	7	3	8	-1	24
7	Asteras Tripolis	17	6	1	10	-7	19
8	Atromitos	17	3	6	8	-12	15
9	Panetolikos	18	3	6	9	-12	15
10	Volos NFC	18	3	6	9	-16	15
11	Lamia	19	3	6	10	-20	15
12	Kifisia	18	3	5	10	-23	14
13	Panserraikos	17	2	4	11	-21	10
14	Giannina	18	2	4	12	-22	10
15	OFI Crete	17	0	8	9	-23	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.