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Conference League
Referee: M Guida
Aston Villa
S S T S U
2–4
Full-time
Olympiakos
T S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aston Villa Olympiakos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,7
3,0
Scored
2,2
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 12/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
75%
50%
Both score Ø 54%
58%
50%
Average goals
3,1
3,3
Scored
2,3
2,0
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,4
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

1,43 xG 1,26
66% Possession 34%
17 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 4
0 Offside 4
10 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
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Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Guida · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.