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Conference League
Referee: F Zwayer
Olympiakos
S U U S S
2–0
Full-time
Aston Villa
T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympiakos Aston Villa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 7/13 matches
Win Ø 67%
71%
62%
Points per game
2,1
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
57%
77%
Both score Ø 60%
57%
62%
Average goals
3,7
3,3
Scored
2,3
2,2
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,20 xG 1,14
26% Possession 74%
9 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
0 Corners 9
7 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 7
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

2. May -24 Aston Villa – Olympiakos 2–4

Match report

Olympiakos Aston Villa
1–0 A. El Kaabi ⚽
Quini
10′
Rodinei 🟨
30′
Half-time 1–0
50′
🟨 Douglas Luiz
Daniel Podence 🟨
53′
58′
🔁 J. Durán
↦ M. Diaby
G. Masouras 🔁
↦ Daniel Podence
64′
65′
🔁 T. Iroegbunam
↦ Diego Carlos
Quini 🟨
67′
73′
🟨 Tim Iroegbunam
André Horta 🔁
↦ Iborra
73′
A. Apostolopoulos 🔁
↦ Quini
77′
2–0 A. El Kaabi ⚽
K. Tzolakis
78′
Ayoub El Kaabi ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
81′
86′
🔁 O. Kellyman
↦ L. Bailey
86′
🔁 K. Kesler-Hayden
↦ M. Cash
86′
🔁 F. Munroe
↦ L. Digne
89′
🟨 Jhon Durán
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Olympiakos

4-2-3-1
88 K. Tzolakis G
23 Rodinei D
45 P. Retsos D
16 David Carmo D
18 Quini D
8 Iborra M
32 S. Hezze M
7 K. Fortounis M
6 Chiquinho M
56 Daniel Podence M
9 A. El Kaabi F
Bench (11)
19 G. Masouras
5 André Horta
65 A. Apostolopoulos
11 Y. El-Arabi
15 S. Alexandropoulos
20 João Carvalho
99 T. Papadoudis
22 S. Jovetić
1 A. Paschalakis
70 V. Prekates
74 A. Ntoi

Coach: José Luis Mendilibar

Aston Villa

5-4-1
1 E. Martínez G
2 M. Cash D
4 E. Konsa D
3 Diego Carlos D
14 Pau Torres D
12 L. Digne D
31 L. Bailey M
7 J. McGinn M
6 Douglas Luiz M
19 M. Diaby M
11 O. Watkins F
Bench (10)
24 J. Durán
47 T. Iroegbunam
71 O. Kellyman
29 K. Kesler-Hayden
69 F. Munroe
18 J. Gauci
72 K. Young
17 C. Lenglet
25 R. Olsen
66 T. Patterson

Coach: Unai Emery

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Zwayer · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.