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Super League

AEK

U T S S T

1–0

Full-time

Aris

T T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Aris

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

1,8

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

50%

42%

Both score Ø 46%

50%

42%

Average goals

2,6

2,7

Scored

1,8

1,5

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,1

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

17 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 1

9 Corners 2

15 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AEK 4. · Aris 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	14	10	2	2	+24	32
2	Panathinaikos	14	10	1	3	+26	31
3	PAOK	14	9	3	2	+19	30
4	AEK	12	8	3	1	+13	27
5	Aris Thessalonikis	12	6	2	4	+4	20
6	Aris	12	6	2	4	+4	20
7	Lamia	14	5	4	5	-8	19
8	OFI Crete	14	4	6	4	-5	18
9	Asteras Tripolis	14	5	2	7	-6	17
10	Atromitos	14	3	6	5	-8	15
11	Panserraikos	14	3	4	7	-12	13
12	Volos NFC	14	2	5	7	-12	11
13	Kifisia	14	1	6	7	-14	9
14	Panetolikos	14	2	3	9	-15	9
15	Giannina	14	1	5	8	-10	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PAOK	9	7	2	0	+18	23
2	Olympiakos	9	7	0	2	+17	21
3	Aris Thessalonikis	7	5	1	1	+7	16
4	Aris	7	5	1	1	+7	16
5	OFI Crete	8	4	3	1	+3	15
6	AEK	6	4	2	0	+9	14
7	Lamia	7	4	2	1	+3	14
8	Panathinaikos	6	4	1	1	+16	13
9	Panserraikos	4	3	1	0	+4	10
10	Panetolikos	6	2	2	2	-1	8
11	Volos NFC	8	2	2	4	-4	8
12	Atromitos	5	1	4	0	+1	7
13	Kifisia	7	1	4	2	-2	7
14	Asteras Tripolis	7	2	1	4	-5	7
15	Giannina	6	1	1	4	-4	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Panathinaikos	8	6	0	2	+10	18
2	AEK	6	4	1	1	+4	13
3	Olympiakos	5	3	2	0	+7	11
4	Asteras Tripolis	7	3	1	3	-1	10
5	Atromitos	9	2	2	5	-9	8
6	PAOK	5	2	1	2	+1	7
7	Lamia	7	1	2	4	-11	5
8	Aris Thessalonikis	5	1	1	3	-3	4
9	Aris	5	1	1	3	-3	4
10	Giannina	8	0	4	4	-6	4
11	OFI Crete	6	0	3	3	-8	3
12	Volos NFC	6	0	3	3	-8	3
13	Panserraikos	10	0	3	7	-16	3
14	Kifisia	7	0	2	5	-12	2
15	Panetolikos	8	0	1	7	-14	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.