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Super League
Referee: E Gortsilas
Panathinaikos
S U S S U
1–1
Full-time
OFI Crete
U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos OFI Crete
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
1,8
0,7
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,8
This season — Super League · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 50%
87%
13%
Points per game
2,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
27%
40%
Both score Ø 43%
33%
53%
Average goals
2,1
2,3
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
0,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,4
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

77% Possession 23%
17 Shots 1
4 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
13 Corners 0
2 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Panathinaikos 1. · OFI Crete 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Panathinaikos 15 13 2 0 +21 41
2 AEK 16 12 2 2 +27 38
3 PAOK 16 8 6 2 +11 30
4 Olympiakos 16 8 5 3 +14 29
5 Volos NFC 16 8 4 4 +0 28
6 Aris Thessalonikis 14 6 4 4 +9 22
7 Aris 14 6 4 4 +9 22
8 Atromitos 16 5 5 6 +0 20
9 Panetolikos 15 5 4 6 +1 19
10 Asteras Tripolis 16 2 8 6 -10 14
11 Levadeiakos 17 2 6 9 -12 12
12 OFI Crete 15 2 5 8 -12 11
13 Giannina 15 2 4 9 -20 10
14 Lamia 15 1 6 8 -22 9
15 Ionikos 16 1 5 10 -16 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Panathinaikos OFI Crete
8′
🟥 Samuel Yohou
38′
🟨 Nikolaos Marinakis
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 F. Durmishaj
↦ N. Marinakis
Dimitrios Kourbelis 🟨
58′
58′
E. Larsson 0–1
K. Balogiannis
F. Ioannidis 🔁
↦ D. Kourbelis
60′
64′
🟨 Apostolos Diamantis
65′
🟨 Nouha Dicko
74′
🔁 K. Giannoulis
↦ T. Pasalidis
74′
🔁 J. Neira
↦ N. Dicko
B. Verbič 🔁
↦ S. Palacios
75′
82′
🔁 Luis Perea
↦ Jon Toral
Adam Gnezda Čerin 🟨
83′
F. Sánchez 🔁
↦ Juan Carlos
83′
G. Vagiannidis 🔁
↦ G. Kotsiras
83′
86′
🟨 Fiorin Durmishaj
89′
🔁 K. Tsilianidis
↦ A. Dioussé
1–1 F. Ioannidis
A. Čerin
97′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Panathinaikos

4-3-3
91 A. Brignoli G
27 G. Kotsiras D
5 B. Schenkeveld D
23 H. Magnússon D
3 Juan Carlos D
4 Rubén Pérez M
16 A. Čerin M
21 D. Kourbelis M
34 S. Palacios F
9 A. Šporar F
10 Bernard F
Bench (9)
7 F. Ioannidis
77 B. Verbič
14 F. Sánchez
2 G. Vagiannidis
31 Z. Šarlija
57 António Xavier
18 E. Çokaj
44 A. Poungouras
12 Y. Lodygin

Coach: I. Jovanović

OFI Crete

3-4-3
35 C. Mandas G
20 S. Yohou D
4 T. Pasalidis D
15 A. Diamantis D
2 E. Larsson M
29 M. Mellado M
5 A. Dioussé M
6 N. Marinakis M
11 N. Dicko F
21 Jon Toral F
38 K. Balogiannis F
Bench (9)
17 F. Durmishaj
18 K. Giannoulis
8 J. Neira
23 Luis Perea
19 K. Tsilianidis
77 T. Bifouma
9 Miguel Guerrero
1 S. Stevens
45 G. Apostolakis

Coach: Pedro Caravela

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,30
U ✓
4,94
B
10,29
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,94
U2,5 ✓
1,84
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Gortsilas · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
34,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.