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Super League
Referee: A Sidiropoulos
Panathinaikos
S S T U S
0–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos Asteras Tripolis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
1,8
1,5
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
0,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,5
This season — Super League · 20/19 matches
Win Ø 44%
50%
37%
Points per game
1,7
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 28%
35%
21%
Both score Ø 31%
30%
32%
Average goals
2,3
1,8
Scored
1,5
0,9
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%
8 Shots 4
2 Shots on target 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 2
1 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 19
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Panathinaikos 4. · Asteras Tripolis 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 19 15 4 0 +22 49
2 AEK 19 12 3 4 +15 39
3 PAOK 19 12 1 6 +19 37
4 Panathinaikos 20 10 3 7 +15 33
5 Giannina 20 8 6 6 +7 30
6 Aris Thessalonikis 18 8 5 5 +2 29
7 Aris 18 8 5 5 +2 29
8 OFI Crete 21 6 10 5 +0 28
9 Asteras Tripolis 19 7 5 7 +2 26
10 Volos NFC 19 6 3 10 -8 21
11 Panetolikos 19 6 3 10 -14 21
12 Ionikos 20 4 5 11 -10 17
13 Lamia 20 3 7 10 -9 16
14 Apollon 19 1 8 10 -21 11
15 Atromitos 18 2 4 12 -22 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Panathinaikos Asteras Tripolis
37′
🟨 Kévin Soni
Juankar 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–0
F. Sánchez 🔁
↦ G. Kotsiras
46′
47′
🟨 Juan Munafo
Bart Schenkeveld 🟨
48′
Rubén Pérez 🟨
63′
Mateus Vital 🔁
↦ S. Alexandropoulos
65′
66′
🔁 Adrián Riera
↦ Eneko Capilla
73′
🔁 F. Álvarez
↦ C. Tasoulis
73′
🔁 J. Barrales
↦ K. Soni
74′
🟨 Juan Munafo
74′
🟥 Juan Munafo
F. Ioannidis 🔁
↦ S. Palacios
76′
84′
J. Barrales 0–1
R. Lundqvist 🔁
↦ Maurício
88′
89′
🔁 M. Iglesias
↦ Léo Tilica
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Panathinaikos

4-3-3
91 A. Brignoli G
5 B. Schenkeveld D
4 Fran Vélez D
3 Juan Carlos D
27 G. Kotsiras D
88 Maurício M
17 Rubén Pérez M
6 S. Alexandropoulos M
34 S. Palacios F
10 Carlitos López F
22 Aitor Cantalapiedra F
Bench (9)
14 F. Sánchez
98 Mateus Vital
7 F. Ioannidis
16 R. Lundqvist
31 Z. Šarlija
1 S. Dioudis
8 Y. Ayoub
9 F. Macheda
12 I. Chatzitheodoridis

Coach: I. Jovanović

Asteras Tripolis

4-2-3-1
99 A. Tsiftsis G
18 Pichu Atienza D
3 C. Tasoulis M
12 David Carmona D
45 G. Christopoulos D
8 J. Munafo M
10 Eneko Capilla M
6 José Luis Valiente M
27 K. Soni F
11 Xesc Regis F
7 Léo Tilica F
Bench (9)
23 Adrián Riera
29 F. Álvarez
9 J. Barrales
17 M. Iglesias
1 N. Papadopoulos
14 Dani Santafé
2 Rubén García
40 Sito
19 Pepe Castaño

Coach: M. Rastavac

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,80
U
3,38
B ✓
4,61
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,33
U2,5 ✓
1,57
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Sidiropoulos · 107 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
29,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.