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Super League
Aris
S T U T T
1–4
Full-time
AEK
S U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris AEK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,5
This season — Super League · 31/34 matches
Win Ø 41%
29%
53%
Points per game
1,2
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
48%
44%
Both score Ø 53%
58%
47%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,4
1,6
Conceded
1,4
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2 Shots 16
1 Shots on target 10
2 Corners 5
9 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aris 9. · AEK 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 34 28 6 0 +57 90
2 PAOK 35 21 8 6 +28 71
3 AEK 34 18 10 6 +24 64
4 Panathinaikos 34 14 12 8 +9 54
5 Atromitos 32 11 8 13 -2 41
6 Asteras Tripolis 33 10 10 13 +0 40
7 OFI Crete 35 11 7 17 -7 40
8 Aris Thessalonikis 31 9 11 11 +2 38
9 Aris 31 9 11 11 +2 38
10 Larisa 32 9 10 13 -9 37
11 Lamia 32 6 16 10 -13 34
12 Xanthi 32 9 7 16 -14 34
13 Volos NFC 33 9 7 17 -28 34
14 Panionios 32 7 7 18 -28 28
15 Panetolikos 32 5 10 17 -21 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,47
U
4,14
B ✓
1,53
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,84
U2,5
1,94
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.