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Super League
Referee: A Papapetrou
AEK
S U U S U
2–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Aris Thessalonikis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,3
This season — Super League · 31/28 matches
Win Ø 44%
55%
32%
Points per game
1,9
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
42%
50%
Both score Ø 53%
45%
61%
Average goals
2,4
2,8
Scored
1,6
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
12 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AEK 3. · Aris Thessalonikis 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 31 25 6 0 +52 81
2 PAOK 31 19 7 5 +26 64
3 AEK 31 17 9 5 +23 60
4 Panathinaikos 30 12 11 7 +8 47
5 Aris 29 9 11 9 +6 38
6 OFI Crete 32 11 5 16 -6 38
7 Aris Thessalonikis 28 9 10 9 +6 37
8 Atromitos 29 10 7 12 -4 37
9 Asteras Tripolis 30 9 8 13 -4 35
10 Larisa 30 8 10 12 -8 34
11 Lamia 30 6 15 9 -12 33
12 Volos NFC 30 9 6 15 -22 33
13 Xanthi 29 8 6 15 -14 30
14 Panetolikos 30 5 8 17 -21 23
15 Panionios 30 5 7 18 -30 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.