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Championship

Referee: M Oliver

Nott'm Forest

S S T U S

1–2

Full-time

Sheffield United

U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nott'm Forest Sheffield United

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

1,7

1,8

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,8

This season — Championship · 46/47 matches

Win Ø 52%

54%

49%

Points per game

1,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

48%

45%

Both score Ø 43%

46%

40%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,6

1,5

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%

10 Shots 6

1 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 6

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 4

1 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 11

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nott'm Forest 4. · Sheffield United 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fulham	48	29	9	10	+65	96
2	Bournemouth	48	25	15	8	+35	90
3	Huddersfield	47	24	14	9	+21	86
4	Nott'm Forest	46	25	9	12	+35	84
5	Sheffield United	47	23	10	14	+23	79
6	Luton	48	22	13	13	+12	79
7	Middlesbrough	48	22	10	16	+15	76
8	West Brom	48	20	13	15	+11	73
9	Blackburn	48	20	12	16	+12	72
10	Millwall	48	19	15	14	+10	72
11	Coventry	48	19	13	16	+7	70
12	Preston	48	18	16	14	-2	70
13	Swansea	48	18	13	17	-6	67
14	Stoke	48	18	12	18	+7	66
15	QPR	48	19	9	20	-2	66
16	Blackpool	48	17	12	19	-7	63
17	Bristol City	48	16	11	21	-14	59
18	Derby	48	15	13	20	-8	58
19	Cardiff	48	16	9	23	-14	57
20	Hull	48	15	9	24	-11	54
21	Reading	48	14	9	25	-31	51
22	Birmingham	48	11	15	22	-28	48
23	Peterboro	46	9	10	27	-44	37
24	Peterborough	46	9	10	27	-44	37
25	Barnsley	48	6	13	29	-42	31

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fulham	24	15	4	5	+37	49
2	Millwall	24	14	6	4	+19	48
3	Huddersfield	23	14	6	3	+16	48
4	Bournemouth	24	13	8	3	+20	47
5	West Brom	24	13	8	3	+20	47
6	Middlesbrough	24	15	2	7	+15	47
7	Sheffield United	24	14	4	6	+26	46
8	Luton	24	13	7	4	+18	46
9	Nott'm Forest	23	14	3	6	+23	45
10	Blackburn	24	13	5	6	+14	44
11	Derby	24	12	7	5	+9	43
12	Preston	24	10	10	4	+6	40
13	Blackpool	24	12	3	9	+5	39
14	Coventry	24	11	5	8	+9	38
15	Stoke	24	11	5	8	+9	38
16	Swansea	24	10	8	6	+6	38
17	QPR	24	10	6	8	+3	36
18	Bristol City	24	8	9	7	+4	33
19	Reading	24	8	5	11	-9	29
20	Cardiff	24	8	4	12	-3	28
21	Birmingham	24	7	7	10	-6	28
22	Peterboro	23	6	7	10	-6	25
23	Peterborough	23	6	7	10	-6	25
24	Hull	24	7	4	13	-7	25
25	Barnsley	24	5	7	12	-13	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fulham	24	14	5	5	+28	47
2	Bournemouth	24	12	7	5	+15	43
3	Nott'm Forest	23	11	6	6	+12	39
4	Huddersfield	24	10	8	6	+5	38
5	Sheffield United	23	9	6	8	-3	33
6	Luton	24	9	6	9	-6	33
7	Coventry	24	8	8	8	-2	32
8	QPR	24	9	3	12	-5	30
9	Preston	24	8	6	10	-8	30
10	Middlesbrough	24	7	8	9	+0	29
11	Hull	24	8	5	11	-4	29
12	Cardiff	24	8	5	11	-11	29
13	Swansea	24	8	5	11	-12	29
14	Stoke	24	7	7	10	-2	28
15	Blackburn	24	7	7	10	-2	28
16	West Brom	24	7	5	12	-9	26
17	Bristol City	24	8	2	14	-18	26
18	Millwall	24	5	9	10	-9	24
19	Blackpool	24	5	9	10	-12	24
20	Reading	24	6	4	14	-22	22
21	Birmingham	24	4	8	12	-22	20
22	Derby	24	3	6	15	-17	15
23	Peterboro	23	3	3	17	-38	12
24	Peterborough	23	3	3	17	-38	12
25	Barnsley	24	1	6	17	-29	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.