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Süper Lig

Referee: B Kolak

Kayserispor

U S T S T

5–0

Full-time

Hatayspor

T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kayserispor Hatayspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,8

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 19%

23%

15%

Points per game

1,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

50%

65%

Average goals

2,8

2,9

Scored

1,0

1,1

Conceded

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

4,89 xG 1,10

44% Possession 56%

20 Shots 14

11 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 7

8 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 5

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kayserispor 17. · Hatayspor 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	27	22	5	0	+41	+27.5	71
2	Fenerbahce	26	19	5	2	+40	+33.6	62
3	Samsunspor	27	15	6	6	+14	+8.8	51
4	Besiktas	26	12	8	6	+13	+14.9	44
5	Eyüpspor	27	12	8	7	+11	-0.6	44
6	Gaziantep	26	11	5	10	+1	-6.8	38
7	Goztep	26	10	7	9	+10	+14.9	37
8	Buyuksehyr	26	10	6	10	+4	+6.7	36
9	Trabzonspor	26	9	8	9	+12	-1.3	35
10	Kasimpasa	27	8	11	8	-5	-1.0	35
11	Rizespor	27	10	3	14	-12	+3.8	33
12	Antalyaspor	27	9	6	12	-21	-16.0	33
13	Konyaspor	27	8	7	12	-7	-10.0	31
14	Alanyaspor	27	8	7	12	-9	-1.5	31
15	Bodrumspor	27	8	6	13	-9	-1.4	30
16	Sivasspor	27	7	6	14	-12	-15.4	27
17	Kayserispor	26	6	9	11	-19	-4.8	27
18	Hatayspor	26	4	7	15	-17	-20.9	19
19	Ad. Demirspor	26	2	4	20	-35	-30.6	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	14	11	3	0	+21	+19.5	36
2	Fenerbahce	13	11	1	1	+20	+18.7	34
3	Goztep	13	9	3	1	+19	+16.1	30
4	Gaziantep	14	9	3	2	+12	+1.5	30
5	Trabzonspor	13	8	3	2	+17	+5.4	27
6	Eyüpspor	13	8	3	2	+12	+3.6	27
7	Samsunspor	13	8	2	3	+10	+11.9	26
8	Besiktas	13	8	2	3	+7	+9.6	26
9	Buyuksehyr	14	7	4	3	+13	+8.9	25
10	Antalyaspor	13	7	3	3	+0	-2.8	24
11	Alanyaspor	13	6	3	4	+3	+5.9	21
12	Sivasspor	14	5	5	4	+3	-5.5	20
13	Konyaspor	13	5	5	3	+3	+0.7	20
14	Bodrumspor	13	5	3	5	+3	+0.8	18
15	Rizespor	13	5	3	5	-1	+9.2	18
16	Kasimpasa	13	4	5	4	-2	+3.6	17
17	Kayserispor	13	4	4	5	-7	-0.5	16
18	Hatayspor	14	3	5	6	-5	-8.0	14
19	Ad. Demirspor	13	1	2	10	-19	-12.4	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	13	11	2	0	+20	+8.0	35
2	Fenerbahce	13	8	4	1	+20	+14.8	28
3	Samsunspor	14	7	4	3	+4	-3.1	25
4	Besiktas	13	4	6	3	+6	+5.3	18
5	Kasimpasa	14	4	6	4	-3	-4.6	18
6	Eyüpspor	14	4	5	5	-1	-4.2	17
7	Rizespor	14	5	0	9	-11	-5.3	15
8	Bodrumspor	14	3	3	8	-12	-2.2	12
9	Buyuksehyr	12	3	2	7	-9	-2.2	11
10	Konyaspor	14	3	2	9	-10	-10.7	11
11	Kayserispor	13	2	5	6	-12	-4.3	11
12	Alanyaspor	14	2	4	8	-12	-7.4	10
13	Antalyaspor	14	2	3	9	-21	-13.2	9
14	Trabzonspor	13	1	5	7	-5	-6.7	8
15	Gaziantep	12	2	2	8	-11	-8.3	8
16	Goztep	13	1	4	8	-9	-1.1	7
17	Sivasspor	13	2	1	10	-15	-9.9	7
18	Hatayspor	12	1	2	9	-12	-12.9	5
19	Ad. Demirspor	13	1	2	10	-16	-18.3	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.