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Süper Lig
Referee: C Aydın
Bodrumspor
T U T T T
2–0
Full-time
Sivasspor
S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bodrumspor Sivasspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,5
Scored
0,3
1,5
Conceded
1,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 14/15 matches
Win Ø 27%
21%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
36%
67%
Both score Ø 45%
29%
60%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,52 xG 0,40
45% Possession 55%
10 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 0
2 Blocked shots 5
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 2
2 Offside 4
17 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Bodrumspor 17. · Sivasspor 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 14 12 2 0 +23 +14.9 38
2 Fenerbahce 14 10 2 2 +23 +17.1 32
3 Samsunspor 15 9 2 4 +12 +8.6 29
4 Eyüpspor 15 7 5 3 +9 -2.4 26
5 Besiktas 14 7 4 3 +8 +6.8 25
6 Goztep 14 7 3 4 +7 +4.5 24
7 Buyuksehyr 14 6 4 4 +6 +4.4 22
8 Konyaspor 15 5 4 6 -5 -3.4 19
9 Rizespor 14 6 1 7 -6 +0.9 19
10 Gaziantep 14 5 3 6 -1 -2.8 18
11 Sivasspor 15 5 3 7 -5 -11.0 18
12 Antalyaspor 14 5 3 6 -8 -8.8 18
13 Trabzonspor 14 3 7 4 +2 +0.4 16
14 Kasimpasa 14 3 7 4 -3 +0.1 16
15 Kayserispor 14 3 6 5 -10 -6.6 15
16 Alanyaspor 14 3 5 6 -6 -0.3 14
17 Bodrumspor 14 3 2 9 -11 -6.9 11
18 Hatayspor 14 1 5 8 -11 -7.5 8
19 Ad. Demirspor 14 0 2 12 -24 -7.9 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bodrumspor Sivasspor
Ondřej Čelůstka 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–0
Z. Dimitrov 🔁
↦ G. Pușcaș
46′
1–0 T. Seferi
Z. Dimitrov
49′
Gökdeniz Bayrakdar 🟨
56′
Gökdeniz Bayrakdar ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
72′
73′
🟥 Uroš Radaković
Zdravko Dimitrov 🟨
76′
2–0 Z. Dimitrov
76′
77′
🔁 E. Başsan
↦ Garry Rodrigues
E. Bilsel 🔁
↦ Ü. Ergün
82′
89′
🟨 Azizbek Turgunboev
E. Öğrüce 🔁
↦ Fredy
90′
90′
🔁 O. Aksoy
↦ A. Turgunboev
90′
🔁 T. Böke
↦ F. Koita
Pedro Brazão 🔁
↦ G. Bayrakdar
95′
H. Osman 🔁
↦ T. Seferi
95′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Bodrumspor

4-2-3-1
1 Diogo Sousa G
23 Ü. Ergün D
33 O. Čelůstka D
34 A. Aytemur D
77 C. Şen D
5 T. Antalyalı M
26 M. Mohammed M
41 G. Bayrakdar M
16 Fredy M
99 T. Seferi M
9 G. Pușcaș F
Bench (10)
7 Z. Dimitrov
70 E. Bilsel
20 Pedro Brazão
91 E. Öğrüce
19 H. Osman
8 S. Yalçın
10 K. Özer
21 A. Aslan
53 G. Akkan
95 O. Başol

Coach: V. Demirel

Sivasspor

4-1-4-1
35 A. Vural G
7 M. Paluli D
26 U. Radaković D
14 S. Camara D
3 U. Çiftçi D
44 A. Poungouras M
55 F. Koita M
90 A. Turgunboev M
8 C. Charisis M
24 Garry Rodrigues M
9 R. Manaj F
Bench (10)
17 E. Başsan
25 O. Aksoy
46 T. Böke
53 E. Başyiğit
6 Ö. Yiğiter
1 H. Arslan
23 A. Okumuş
10 A. Pritchard
11 Q. Menig
77 K. Baldé

Coach: B. Uygun

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,02
U
3,45
B
3,65
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,97
U2,5 ✓
1,82
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

C Aydın · 51 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.