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Super League
Referee: A Evangelou
Panathinaikos
U S S S S
1–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos Athens Kallithea
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
83%
0%
Points per game
2,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
17%
100%
Average goals
1,8
3,5
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
0,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,9
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
19%
50%
Both score Ø 51%
38%
63%
Average goals
1,6
2,6
Scored
1,0
0,9
Conceded
0,6
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

70% Possession 30%
33 Shots 2
6 Shots on target 1
15 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
17 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Panathinaikos 4. · Athens Kallithea 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 17 10 4 3 +16 34
2 AEK 16 10 3 3 +19 33
3 PAOK 16 9 3 4 +11 30
4 Panathinaikos 16 8 6 2 +6 30
5 Aris Thessalonikis 15 8 3 4 +4 27
6 Aris 15 8 3 4 +4 27
7 Panetolikos 17 7 5 5 +4 26
8 Atromitos 17 5 5 7 -1 20
9 OFI Crete 16 5 5 6 -5 20
10 Volos NFC 16 6 2 8 -9 20
11 Asteras Tripolis 16 4 5 7 -2 17
12 Panserraikos 18 5 2 11 -11 17
13 Levadeiakos 16 2 7 7 -9 13
14 Athens Kallithea 16 0 9 7 -13 9
15 Lamia 17 1 6 10 -14 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,20
U
6,13
B
13,42
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,66
U2,5 ✓
2,15
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Evangelou · 88 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
30,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.